Match Info

Date: 23 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Santamarina de Tandil

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	6.5
	1.63	3.4	5.5
	1.64	3.3	5.4
	1.63	3.35	5.4
	1.64	3.52	6.37
	1.63	3.2	5.8
	1.65	3.42	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.63)	3.37 ↑ (3.29)	5.77 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
56.5%

Draw
27.5%

Santamarina de Tandil
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

27.9%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

28.3%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	15.4%	30.8%

Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Santamarina will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brown de Adrogué: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 37 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 2.

Brown de Adrogué is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Santamarina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Brown de Adrogué is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.07.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
09.07.22	Brown de Adrogué - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
02.07.22	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
20.06.22	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
13.06.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTL
- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.07.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
11.07.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Santamarina de Tandil	4:0 ✺
03.07.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Santamarina de Tandil	1:2 ✺
17.06.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Instituto Córdoba	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.09.21	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0
24.04.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Brown de Adrogué	0:0
28.12.20	Santamarina de Tandil - Brown de Adrogué	1:3
29.02.20	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0
09.09.19	Santamarina de Tandil - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
02.02.19	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1
15.04.18	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0

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