The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 34%
Draw 33.3%
Guillermo Brown 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
36.5%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
36.8%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guillermo Brown's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guillermo Brown, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
65.7%
14.3%
Brown de Adrogué - Guillermo Brown Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 7 - 20%). Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 65.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50% – 81.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Brown de Adrogué could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.