Match Info

Date: 18 July 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin (Tandil)

Referee: Rivero R. (Arg)


	Santamarina de Tandil		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	4.2	2.87	2.15
	3.6	2.9	2.1
	3.85	2.8	2.07
	3.7	2.9	2.07
	4.27	2.84	2.18
	3.7	2.88	2.1
	3.78	2.93	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.77)	2.87 ↑ (2.81)	2.11 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
23.9%

Draw
32.2%

Defensores de Belgrano
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

33.4%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

32.5%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	26.1%	58.7%

Santamarina de Tandil - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Santamarina will win (votes: 7 - 15.2%). Defensores will win (votes: 27 - 58.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores: 44.5% – 72.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 37 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Santamarina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensores de Belgrano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores de Belgrano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Santamarina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.07.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Santamarina de Tandil	4:0 ✺
03.07.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Santamarina de Tandil	1:2 ✺
17.06.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Instituto Córdoba	0:4 ✺
12.06.22	Sacachispas - Santamarina de Tandil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWLL
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.07.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
03.07.22	Guillermo Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3 ✺
27.06.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
20.06.22	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
06.06.22	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0
10.06.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2
13.03.20	Defensores de Belgrano - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0
23.09.19	Santamarina de Tandil - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2
16.09.18	Defensores de Belgrano - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0

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