Match Info

Date: 3 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin (Tandil)

Referee: Lopez R. (Arg)


	Santamarina de Tandil		Tristán Suárez

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.75	2.9
	2.7	2.65	2.65
	2.55	2.8	2.88
	2.7	2.85	2.65
	2.85	2.92	2.86
	2.7	2.8	2.7
	2.7	2.91	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.78)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)	2.77 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
33.9%

Draw
32.8%

Tristán Suárez
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

32.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

32.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	56.5%	26.1%

Santamarina de Tandil - Tristán Suárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Santamarina will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 56.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 37 in the zone Relegation and 35).

Santamarina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tristán Suárez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santamarina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Santamarina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.06.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Santamarina de Tandil	1:2 ✺
17.06.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Instituto Córdoba	0:4 ✺
12.06.22	Sacachispas - Santamarina de Tandil	2:1 ✺
05.06.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Mitre	1:1 ✺
29.05.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLTL
- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.06.22	Tristán Suárez - Atlético de Rafaela	4:0 ✺
19.06.22	Guillermo Brown - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
11.06.22	Tristán Suárez - Chacarita Juniors	3:2 ✺
05.06.22	Brown de Adrogué - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
01.06.22	Instituto Córdoba - Tristán Suárez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.11.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Tristán Suárez	0:0
17.07.21	Tristán Suárez - Santamarina de Tandil	2:1

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