Match Info

Catarinense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: Albuquerque I. ()


	Brusque		Concórdia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.54	3.6	7.16
	1.53	3.89	6.31	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.5	4.4	5.33
	1.52	3.4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)	3.76 ↑ (3.65)	6.06 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
60.2%

Draw
24.6%

Concórdia
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

24.6%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

23.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Concórdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Brusque - Concórdia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 3. Alisson Cassiano (C) 5. Bernardo 8. Biel Fonseca 7. Gazao 11. Joao Pedro 20. Joao Prado 2. Leonardo Ataide 21. Luizao 4. Rafael Milhorim 6. Raimar	1. Oliveira (G) 8. Anthonio Sergio 9. Campos Eric 5. da Costa Silva P. M. 10. Gaudencio 2. Kaik 3. Lucas Barboza 11. Luiz Phillipe 6. Matheus Streit 7. Petterson 4. Thiago Freitas
Substitutes
15. Alex Paulino 9. Alvaro 24. Coxa 22. Italo Lucas 16. Joao Felix 10. Joao Pedro 18. Leonardo 17. Lucas de Sa 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 19. Petterson Novaes 14. Ryan Santos 13. Salas M.	21. Caca 18. Caike 14. Da Silva 15. Denner 25. Eberson 17. Enzo Trentin 20. Hiago 19. Joao Araujo 23. Matheus Maia 16. Puerari E. 12. Rodrigo (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Rafael Milhorim 🟨,
28', Anthonio Sergio 🟨,
40', Campos Eric 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Campos Eric ↓, Caike ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Lucas Barboza ⚽,
65', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
71', Anthonio Sergio ↓, Puerari E. ↑,
72', Joao Prado ↓, Alvaro ↑,
73', 🟨,
78', Gazao ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
78', Kaik ↓, Matheus Maia ↑,
86', Biel Fonseca (Penalty Awarded),
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Alvaro ⚽,
90+5', Matheus Streit 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,
90+7', Biel Fonseca 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Alvaro (Penalty Awarded),
1, da Costa Silva P. M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Petterson Novaes (Penalty Awarded),
2, Caike (Penalty Awarded),
3, Raimar (Penalty Awarded),
3, Enzo Trentin (Penalty Awarded),
4, Alisson Cassiano (Penalty Awarded),
4, Matheus Maia (Penalty Awarded),
5, Rafael Milhorim (Penalty Awarded),
5, Petterson (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 2.

Brusque is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Concórdia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Brusque is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
01.02.26	Concórdia - Brusque	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Criciúma - Brusque	3:3 ✺
21.01.26	Brusque - Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Brusque - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTTWW
- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
01.02.26	Concórdia - Brusque	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia	5:1 ✺
22.01.26	Concórdia - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Criciúma - Concórdia	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Concórdia - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
01.02.26	Concórdia - Brusque	0:0
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
29.09.25	Brusque - Concórdia	2:0
24.09.25	Concórdia - Brusque	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
16.02.25	Concórdia - Brusque	1:4
07.02.24	Concórdia - Brusque	1:1
23.03.23	Brusque - Concórdia	2:0
19.03.23	Concórdia - Brusque	0:0

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