Match Info

Catarinense - Round 5

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)


	Brusque		Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.98	3.5
	2.12	2.91	3.93	Watch
	2.05	2.75	3.75
	2.08	2.72	3.98
	2.1	2.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.85)	2.8 ↓ (3.38)	3.83 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
43.5%

Draw
32.6%

Santa Catarina
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusque's form might have worsened.

Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Brusque - Santa Catarina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 3. Alisson Cassiano 5. Bernardo 8. Biel Fonseca (C) 20. Joao Prado 7. JP Martins 21. Luizao 2. Pedro Medeiros 4. Rafael Milhorim 6. Raimar 14. Ryan Santos	1. Marcos (G) 29. Adriel 20. Alex Goncalves 7. Bruninho 8. Cleberson 6. Coruja 16. Galdino 2. Juninho 10. Mendes 13. Renan 4. Ze Leandro
Substitutes
15. Alex Paulino 19. Alvaro 11. Clinton 18. Coxa 16. Joao Felix 10. Joao Pedro 24. Leonardo 17. Lucas de Sa 9. Olavio 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 13. Salas M. 23. Ze	21. Beto 18. Brener 3. DVD 27. Gui Nascimento 17. Henrique Lordelo 12. Iago Henrique 19. Iarley 15. Kaue Oliveira 28. Pablo 14. Piaui 23. Vinicius Machado (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Joao Prado 🟨,
19', Ze Leandro 🟨,
38', Pedro Medeiros ↓, Alex Paulino ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Biel Fonseca (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Joao Prado ↓, Clinton ↑,
57', Luizao 🟨,
62', Alex Paulino 🟨,
63', Luizao ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
64', JP Martins ↓, Olavio ↑,
68', Alex Goncalves ↓, Gui Nascimento ↑,
68', Renan ↓, Piaui ↑,
76', Raimar 🟨,
77', Mendes ↓, Pablo ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Brener ⚽,
78', Brener 🟨,
90+6', Piaui 🟨,

Preview

Brusque is Qualified for Catarinense (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Brusque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brusque is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Brusque won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
17.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Brusque - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Brusque - Carlos Renaux	1:0 ✺
06.01.26	Chapecoense - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
15.10.25	Santa Catarina - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTL
- Santa Catarina FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
18.01.26	Santa Catarina - Joinville	3:1 ✺
15.01.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Concórdia - Santa Catarina	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Santa Catarina - Camboriú	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
25.10.25	Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
15.10.25	Santa Catarina - Brusque	1:0
09.09.25	Brusque - Santa Catarina	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
12.02.25	Santa Catarina - Brusque	1:0

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