Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Brusque		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.2
	2.28	2.92	3	Watch
	2.34	3	3.33
	2.34	2.95	3.29	Watch
	2.25	2.65	3.25
	2.29	2.79	3.26	Watch
	2.28	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.02)	2.87 ↓ (3.15)	3.19 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
39.8%

Draw
31.7%

Figueirense
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

30.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusque's form might have worsened.

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Brusque - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Figueirense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brusque: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 17. Adrianinho 9. Alvaro 5. Bernardo (C) 4. Cipriano 7. Gazao 2. Jeferson 10. Joao Pedro 11. Petterson Novaes 6. Raimar 3. Ryan Santos	52. Igo Gabriel (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 99. Emerson Galego 70. Igor Bolt 30. Jean Mangabeira 82. Jose Carlos 2. Leo Maia 3. Leonan Santos 37. Lucas Dias (C) 7. Raynan 5. Renan Areias
Substitutes
15. Alex Paulino 18. Clinton 16. Davi Gabriel 24. Guga 8. Jonatan Lucca 21. Leonardo 13. Leonardo Ataide 19. Macario 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 22. Pedro Medeiros 14. Rafael Milhorim 20. Rafa Fonseca	11. Arthur Martins 8. Dudu 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 27. Felipe Santiago 35. Flavio 91. Hyuri 25. Jhonnathan 17. Mailson 9. Renz L. 88. Silvinho 22. Vitor Ricardo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Gazao ⚽,
36', Bernardo 🟨,
39', Raynan 🟨,
45', Leonan Santos 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Bernardo ⚽,
52', 3 - 0, Adrianinho ⚽,
58', 3 - 1, Igor Bolt ⚽,
75', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 1.

Brusque has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Figueirense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brusque may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brusque might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Brusque: 10.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Brusque - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.87%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
30.06.26	Botafogo PB - Brusque	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Brusque - Floresta	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Brusque - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLTW
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
28.06.26	Figueirense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Ituano - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Floresta - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Confiança - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
14.01.26	Brusque - Figueirense	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
06.07.25	Brusque - Figueirense	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
05.02.25	Figueirense - Brusque	1:0
27.01.24	Brusque - Figueirense	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
17.06.23	Brusque - Figueirense	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
11.03.23	Brusque - Figueirense	3:2
05.03.22	Brusque - Figueirense	2:2

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