Match Info

BRAZIL: CATARINENSE - ROUND 7

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)


	Brusque		Internacional de Lages

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.66	3.6	5	Watch
	1.64	3.4	4.55
	1.73	3.37	4.74
	1.77	3.7	5.02
	1.64	3.5	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.95)	3.51 ↑ (3.2)	4.83 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
54.8%

Draw
26.2%

Internacional de Lages
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brusque's performance.

Internacional de Lages has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Internacional de Lages might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brusque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Lages than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Brusque - Internacional de Lages Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 66. Alex Ruan 10. Dentinho 8. Jhemerson 33. Madison 6. Matheus Salustiano 9. Olavio 94. Paulinho Moccelin 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 15. Ronei 4. Wallace (C)	23. Cesar Tanaka (G) 11. Baianinho 5. Bruno Sena (C) 4. Caio Sena 10. Danilo Pires 8. Favero 6. Gabriel Costa 2. Julio Ferrari 7. Marcelinho 3. Rangel D. 20. Venicius
Substitutes
22. Cristovam 11. Diego Tavares 12. Dionisio 35. Georgemy (G) 17. Guilherme Queiroz 18. Guto 3. Ianson 20. Iran 21. Luiz Henrique 19. Marcos Serrato 31. Matheus Silva (G) 75. Maycon Douglas	17. Anderson Carvalho 18. Biel 15. Calebe Costa 22. Julinho 19. Matheus Campos 16. Renilson 1. Rodrigo Josviaki (G) 14. Vitinho 9. Wesley

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brusque won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Inter de Lages could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brusque is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Brusque won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
07.02.24	Concórdia - Brusque	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Brusque - Joinville	1:1 ✺
31.01.24	Nação - Brusque	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Brusque - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
24.01.24	Brusque - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLTT
- Internacional de Lages
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.02.24	Internacional de Lages - Nação	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Hercílio Luz - Internacional de Lages	3:3 ✺
31.01.24	Internacional de Lages - Avaí	2:3 ✺
24.01.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Internacional de Lages	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Internacional de Lages - Concórdia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
01.04.18	Brusque - Internacional de Lages	1:1
18.02.18	Internacional de Lages - Brusque	0:1
15.04.17	Brusque - Internacional de Lages	2:1
25.02.17	Internacional de Lages - Brusque	0:3
17.04.16	Brusque - Internacional de Lages	1:1
28.02.16	Internacional de Lages - Brusque	3:1

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