Match Info

BRAZIL: CATARINENSE - ROUND 4

Date: 31 January 2024, Wednesday


	Nação		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.58
	5	3.75	1.63	Watch
	5.24	3.57	1.61
	5.36	3.75	1.6
	5.4	3.65	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↑ (3.59)	3.66 ↑ (3.25)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nação
17.7%

Draw
25%

Brusque
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.9%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nação has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nação's form might have worsened.

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brusque's recent form is better than expected.

Nação - Brusque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Omar (G) 6. Bahia W. 10. Brendon 4. Gabriel Vidal 8. Jair 11. Paul Henry 3. Paulo Fales (C) 2. Regis 7. Rene 9. Robinho 5. Zemarcio	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 66. Alex Ruan 10. Dentinho 2. Everton Alemao 17. Guilherme Queiroz 8. Jhemerson 33. Madison 94. Paulinho Moccelin 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 15. Ronei 4. Wallace (C)
Substitutes
17. Caua Sales 12. Douglas 21. Gabriel Calabres 18. Geovane Itinga 14. Jeder 26. Jhonnattan (G) 20. Luza 22. Pinheiro G. 16. Rickson 15. Roger Bernardo 13. Scottini 19. Vinicius Sousa	22. Cristovam 11. Diego Tavares 12. Dionisio 35. Georgemy (G) 3. Ianson 20. Iran 21. Luiz Henrique 19. Marcos Serrato 6. Matheus Salustiano 31. Matheus Silva (G) 75. Maycon Douglas 9. Olavio

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Catarinense 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Nação could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brusque is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nação Esportes Canoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
28.01.24	Concórdia - Nação	3:2 ✺
25.01.24	Nação - Barra Santa Catarina	0:4 ✺
21.01.24	Avaí - Nação	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
21.10.23	Nação - Concórdia	2:0 ✺
17.10.23	Joinville - Nação	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLWL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
27.01.24	Brusque - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
24.01.24	Brusque - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
22.10.23	Brusque - Amazonas	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Amazonas - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWLT

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