Match Info

BRAZIL: CATARINENSE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)


	Brusque		Náutico Marcílio Dias

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.8	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.19	4.48
	1.8	3.19	4.48
	1.82	3.32	4.41
	1.84	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	4.28 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
50.4%

Draw
28.3%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

26%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 22. Cristovam 11. Diego Tavares 7. Dionisio 3. Ianson 21. Luiz Henrique 19. Marcos Serrato 9. Olavio 94. Paulinho Moccelin 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 4. Wallace (C)	12. Erivelton (G) 6. Airton 9. de Andrade J. E. 5. Felipe Manoel 11. Felipe Santos 7. Gustavo Poffo 10. Juninho Tardelli 8. Marquinhos 4. Sandro (C) 3. Silvio 2. Victor Guilherme
Substitutes
66. Alex Ruan 2. Everton Alemao 35. Georgemy (G) 17. Guilherme Queiroz 20. Iran 8. Jhemerson 6. Matheus Salustiano 30. Patrick Machado 15. Ronei 29. Wellissol	17. Alex Oliveira 15. Araujo 24. Davi Schwenck 1. Filipe (G) 18. Matheus Neris 14. Milani 16. Rafael Carioca 21. Rafinha Rech 13. Renan Dutra 20. Tessio 19. Wendel 22. Ze Vitor
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Waguinho Dias

Preview

1st leg.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brusque won 4.

Brusque in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Marcílio Dias is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Brusque is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brusque won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.03.24	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Brusque	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
24.02.24	Avaí - Brusque	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Brusque - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
15.02.24	Criciúma - Brusque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWTW
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.03.24	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.02.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Vasco da Gama	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
24.02.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Nação	1:1 ✺
21.02.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Figueirense	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.03.24	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	4:1
18.02.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	0:0
Club Friendly
11.01.23	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.02.22	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:2
24.02.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	1:2
22.01.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	1:0
16.03.19	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0

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