Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Santa Catarina - Play Offs - Final

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Concórdia		Náutico Marcílio Dias

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.75
	2.43	2.9	2.9
	2.83	2.99	2.62
	2.64	2.84	2.8	Watch
	2.46	2.85	2.84
	2.43	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.42)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	2.8 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concórdia
36.1%

Draw
31.4%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31.2%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

32.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-2%)

Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟥,
50', 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concórdia won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Concórdia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Concórdia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
12.11.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Concórdia - Chapecoense	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Chapecoense - Concórdia	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Hercílio Luz - Concórdia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLTL
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
12.11.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Hercílio Luz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:2 penalties ✺
27.10.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Hercílio Luz	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
12.11.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	1:1
19.10.24	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
17.02.24	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
26.11.23	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:3
19.11.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	1:1
17.09.23	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
04.03.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	1:2

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