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Current Win Probability
Brusque 66.8%
Draw 22.8%
Hercílio Luz 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
28%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
26.5%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brusque's performance.
Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hercílio Luz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brusque that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hercílio Luz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brusque - Hercílio Luz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 66. Alex Ruan 27. Diego Mathias 2. Everton Alemao 19. Marcos Serrato 97. Mateus Pivo 94. Paulinho Moccelin 9. Pollero R. 10. Robinho 5. Rodolfo Potiguar (C) 4. Torres J.
1. Renan Rocha (G) 9. Alex Henrique (C) 8. Alison 3. Alisson Santana 4. Bruno Gabriel 5. Emanuel Jesus 10. Gabriel Silva 11. Kadu Barone 2. Lucas Lopes 6. Mateus Mendes 7. Richard
Substitutes
39. Biro C. 33. Dionatan 11. Gabriel Honorio 15. Graff L. 3. Ianson 76. Jordan (G) 80. Preuss V. 12. Reis L. 99. Robinho 28. Vithor J. 29. Yukawa S. 70. Zen H.
13. Andre Baumer 18. Caique Brito 14. Davi Souza 17. Dudu Silva 12. Igor Pavan (G) 22. Kaique (G) 15. Leo Herrero 19. Luiz Felipe 20. Yuri Sousa
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Paulinho Moccelin ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Emanuel Jesus ↓, Caique Brito ↑,
46', Mateus Mendes ↓, Matheus Neris ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Luiz Felipe ⚽,
56', Pollero R. ↓, Biro C. ↑,
56', Robinho ↓,
64', 2 - 1, Diego Mathias (Pen),
65', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Gabriel Honorio ↑,
67', Biro C. 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Everton Alemao ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brusque won 3.
Recent matches Brusque is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hercílio Luz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Brusque have a series of guest games.
Recently Hercílio Luz have a series of home games.
In this match Brusque is absolute favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Brusque won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.3:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.3:0.5).
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Matheus Nogueira (G) 
Pollero R. 
Torres J. 
Yukawa S. 
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
