Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Brusque		São Bento

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.4
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.3	4.6
	1.76	3.38	4.69
	1.75	3.1	4.75
	1.76	3.4	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	4.58 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
52.5%

Draw
27.6%

São Bento
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

17.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for São Bento have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brusque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Bento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Brusque - São Bento Predictions

Users Predictions: Brusque will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie C (Play Offs) and 9 in the zone Relegation to Serie D).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

São Bento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brusque is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brusque won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.20	Ypiranga - Brusque	1:1 ✺
05.10.20	Brusque - Criciúma	3:1 ✺
01.10.20	Brusque - Londrina	2:1 ✺
27.09.20	Volta Redonda - Brusque	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.09.20	Ceará - Brusque	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTL
- EC São Bento
Brazilian Serie C
15.10.20	São Bento - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
12.10.20	São Caetano - São Bento	1:1 penalties ✺
09.10.20	São Bento - São Caetano	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
02.10.20	Ituano - São Bento	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
30.09.20	São Bernardo - São Bento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
13.08.20	São Bento - Brusque	0:1
Brazilian Serie D
30.07.16	São Bento - Brusque	1:0
24.07.16	Brusque - São Bento	0:0

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