The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Brusque 19.4%
Draw 29.9%
Criciúma 50.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
29.1%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
28.8%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusque's form might have worsened.
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Criciúma's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brusque - Criciúma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 15. Alex Paulino 3. Alisson Cassiano 9. Alvaro 8. Biel Fonseca (C) 11. Clinton 7. Gazao 2. Italo Lucas 6. Joao Felix 18. Joao Pedro 4. Rafael Milhorim
1. Alisson (G) 11. Diego Goncalves 5. Eduardo 8. Guilherme Lobo 10. Jhonata Robert 4. Luciano Castan 22. Marcelo Hermes 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 3. Rodrigo (C) 13. Waguininho
Substitutes
14. Coxa 10. Joao Pedro 20. Joao Prado 24. Leonardo 22. Leonardo Ataide 17. Lucas de Sa 21. Luizao 19. Petterson Novaes 16. Raimar 13. Salas M. 12. Ze
17. Eliel Costa 7. Hiago Alves 15. Jean Irmer 21. Joao Carlos 24. Kaua Lira 18. Nufour S. 14. Ruan Carvalho 20. Sandry 12. Santos P. (G) 19. Thales 2. Willean Lepo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Alisson Cassiano 🟨,
35', Nicolas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diego Goncalves ↓, Willean Lepo ↑,
55', Guilherme Lobo 🟨,
63', Joao Felix ↓, Raimar ↑,
63', Italo Lucas ↓, Leonardo Ataide ↑,
64', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Sandry ↑,
64', Eduardo ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Jhonata Robert ⚽,
73', Clinton ↓, Joao Prado ↑,
73', Joao Pedro ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
74', Nicolas ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
83', Waguininho ↓, Thales ↑,
83', Gazao ↓, Luizao ↑,
86', Alisson 🟨,
90+5', Jhonata Robert 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Brusque may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Criciúma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Criciúma - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.72%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.