Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Brusque		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.35	2.88	2.92	Watch
	2.41	3.05	3.2
	2.54	2.72	3.18	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.88
	2.4	2.89	2.98	Watch
	2.37	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.28)	2.88 ↓ (3.05)	2.99 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
37.9%

Draw
31.6%

Londrina
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Brusque - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 66. Alex Ruan (C) 7. Biel Fonseca 27. Diego Mathias 2. Everton Alemao 23. Guilherme Pira 30. Jean Mangabeira 97. Mateus Pivo 9. Olavio 18. Thomaz 4. Torres J.	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 14. Cedric 10. Eliel 11. Iago Teles 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 9. Quirino 4. Wallace (C) 13. Wellington 3. Yago Lincoln 5. Ze Breno
Substitutes
73. Adrianinho 15. Alex Paulino 22. Andre Luiz (G) 50. Bernardo 48. Caio Gomes 17. Clinton U. 6. Italo 11. Luizao 91. Luizinho 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 16. Roberto Rosa 10. Robinho	12. Elzo Neto (G) 21. Gabriel Canela 18. Joao Tavares 2. Joao Vitor 15. Marco Antonio 22. Rikelmi 20. Robson Duarte 16. Villian Guilherme 17. Vitinho
Coaches
Franco B.	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Olavio ⚽,
44', Yago Lincoln 🟨,
44', Wallace 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cedric ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
46', Yago Lincoln ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
54', Mateus Pivo 🟨,
59', Mateus Pivo ↓, Adrianinho ↑,
61', Eliel ↓, Vitinho ↑,
66', Thomaz ↓, Alex Paulino ↑,
70', Lucas Marques ↓, Joao Tavares ↑,
77', Alex Ruan ↓, Roberto Rosa ↑,
77', Guilherme Pira ↓, Robinho ↑,
77', Olavio ↓, Luizinho ↑,
87', Ze Breno ↓, Gabriel Canela ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+1', Mauricio Junior 🟨,
90+3', Robinho 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Robson Duarte ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, Iago Teles ⚽,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Londrina - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.18%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.25	Anápolis - Brusque	2:1 ✺
04.08.25	Brusque - Itabaiana	0:0 ✺
28.07.25	Botafogo PB - Brusque	1:3 ✺
20.07.25	Brusque - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Maringá - Brusque	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTWLW
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.25	Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Ituano - Londrina	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Londrina - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Londrina - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Botafogo PB - Londrina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.08.22	Brusque - Londrina	0:1
14.05.22	Londrina - Brusque	2:1
28.08.21	Brusque - Londrina	0:0
05.06.21	Londrina - Brusque	0:1
Brazilian Serie C
14.11.20	Londrina - Brusque	2:1
01.10.20	Brusque - Londrina	2:1

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