Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 29

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Guimaraes L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Ceará		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.35	4.4	8.5
	1.36	4.5	9
	1.37	4.57	10.33
	1.38	4.33	8.91	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9
	1.37	4.45	9	Watch
	1.36	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	4.47 ↑ (4.39)	9.03 ↑ (8.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
68.7%

Draw
20.9%

Brusque
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

21.2%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

20.5%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Ceará - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Brusque will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 6. Ramos R. 40. Ramon Menezes (C) 4. David Ricardo 79. Matheus Bahia 8. De Lucca 28. Recalde J. 97. Lourenco 73. Saulo Mineiro 11. Aylon 16. Erick Pulga	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 3. Ianson 4. Wallace (C) 16. Torres J. 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 28. Paulinho 14. Gonzalez A. 27. Diego Mathias 17. Guilherme Queiroz 10. Dentinho
Substitutes
98. Andrey 31. Barcelo F. 14. Eric 5. Jean Irmer 3. Joao Pedro 77. Lucas Rian 42. Matheus Felipe 12. Maycon Cleiton (G) 18. Rafinha 2. Rai Ramos 26. Richardson 70. Talisson	11. Diego Tavares 7. Dionisio 12. Gabriel Pinheiro 35. Georgemy (G) 33. Madison 19. Marcos Serrato 77. Ocampo M. 80. Osman 94. Paulinho Moccelin 9. Pollero R. 15. Ronei
Coaches
Leo Conde	Marcelo Cabo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Ramon Menezes ↓, Matheus Felipe ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', David Ricardo 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Recalde J. ⚽,
69', Dentinho ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
70', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Pollero R. ↑,
77', Recalde J. ↓, Richardson ↑,
78', Lourenco ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
79', Aylon 🟨,
80', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ocampo M. ↑,
80', Diego Mathias ↓, Osman ↑,
80', Mateus Pivo 🟨,
83', Paulinho ↓, Marcos Serrato ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Ceará is certain favorite.

There will not play in Ceará: Luiz Otavio (Injury)

There will not play in Brusque: Marcelo Nunes (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ceará won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
22.09.24	Ceará - Vila Nova	4:0 ✺
18.09.24	Coritiba - Ceará	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	Chapecoense - Ceará	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Amazonas - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWT
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
23.09.24	Brusque - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
17.09.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brusque	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Brusque - Vila Nova	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	Brusque - Santos	0:1 ✺
02.09.24	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.06.24	Brusque - Ceará	1:0
Copa do Brasil
23.09.20	Ceará - Brusque	5:1
16.09.20	Brusque - Ceará	0:2
07.02.18	Brusque - Ceará	0:1

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