Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)


	Brusque		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.35
	2.09	3.2	3.55
	2.09	3.26	3.52	Watch
	2.05	2.88	3.4
	2.05	3.05	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.3)	3.09 ↑ (2.79)	3.46 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brusque
44.1%

Draw
29.5%

Ypiranga
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

33.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

31.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-1%)

Brusque - Ypiranga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 17. Adrianinho 5. Bernardo 7. Gazao 2. Jeferson 10. Joao Pedro 19. Macario 11. Petterson Novaes 4. Rafael Milhorim 6. Raimar 3. Ryan Santos	29. Gabriel Werner (G) 23. Danielzinho 27. Dionisio 10. Estevao 21. Leo Gobo 79. Leo Rafael 43. Ramon Vinicius 9. Renan Gorne 8. Rian 22. Walce 3. Willian Gomes
Substitutes
. Alex Paulino 9. Alvaro 18. Clinton 16. Davi Gabriel 15. Guga 20. Joao Prado 8. Jonatan Lucca 21. Leonardo 13. Leonardo Ataide . Pedro Medeiros . Salas M. 12. Ze V.	20. Dudu 33. Eduardo Grechi 7. Felipe Ferreira 28. Lucas Fogaca 16. Lucas Ramos 15. Mago 80. Marcelinho 4. Reinaldo 11. Vini Charopem 35. Ze Carlos (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Leo Rafael ↓, Bryam ↑,
46', Rian ↓, Dudu ↑,
50', Macario 🟨,
56', 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Adrianinho ⚽,
60', 🟨,
62', Macario ↓, Alvaro ↑,
63', Renan Gorne ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Adrianinho ⚽,
72', Estevao ↓, Lucas Fogaca ↑,
74', Bernardo ↓, Joao Prado ↑,
74', Petterson Novaes ↓, Leonardo ↑,
83', Joao Pedro ↓, Clinton ↑,
83', Jeferson ↓, Pedro Medeiros ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Brusque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brusque is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Brusque: 10.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Brusque - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.36%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
03.05.26	Volta Redonda - Brusque	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Brusque - Confiança	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Maringá - Brusque	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Paysandu - Brusque	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Brusque - Caxias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TWWTW
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
05.05.26	Ypiranga - Ituano	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Caxias - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ypiranga - Anápolis	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Itabaiana - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Ypiranga - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
27.04.25	Brusque - Ypiranga	1:0
05.08.23	Ypiranga - Brusque	2:0
11.10.20	Ypiranga - Brusque	1:1
08.08.20	Brusque - Ypiranga	2:1

Upcoming Matches