Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 2

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Etelvino Mendonca (Itabaiana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Itabaiana		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.78	3.4
	2.25	2.93	3.62
	2.31	2.71	3.75	Watch
	2.2	2.63	3.3
	2.21	2.72	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.14)	2.75 ↓ (2.96)	3.52 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
40.9%

Draw
33.2%

Ypiranga
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

31.4%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

30.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Itabaiana - Ypiranga Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Itabaiana will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ypiranga will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jefferson (G) 3. Betao (C) 9. Everton Kanela 5. Gustavo Crecci 8. Karl 7. Leilson 4. Ligger 10. Renatinho 2. Ricardo Cerqueira 11. Rodrigo Alves 6. Tito	29. Gabriel Werner (G) 2. Cleiton 23. Danielzinho 27. Dionisio 21. Leo Gobo 79. Leo Rafael 6. Nicolas 43. Ramon Vinicius 9. Renan Gorne 22. Walce 3. Willian Gomes (C)
Substitutes
17. Balde R. 21. Caio Felipe 18. Elimar 15. Fabricio Moura 12. Geaze (G) 14. Gustavo Cintra 20. Isaque 19. Luan Silva 13. Lucao 23. Lucas Bessa 22. Pedro Igor 16. Tarcisio	41. Adilson Junior 17. Bryam 20. Dudu 7. Felipe Ferreira 28. Gustavo Simoes 16. Lucas Ramos 5. Rian 11. Vini Charopem 35. Ze Carlos (G)
Coaches
Gilson Kleina	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Leo Rafael ⚽,
14', 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Nicolas ⚽,
27', Danielzinho 🟨,
33', Ricardo Cerqueira ↓, Isaque ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cleiton ↓, Adilson Junior ↑,
46', Leilson ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
61', Leo Rafael ↓, Rian ↑,
65', Nicolas ↓, Bryam ↑,
67', Tito ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
74', Bryam 🟨,
76', Vini Charopem 🟨,
76', Gustavo Crecci ↓, Fabricio Moura ↑,
76', Renatinho ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
80', Renan Gorne ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
80', Danielzinho ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
80', 🟨,
85', Rodrigo Alves 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Ypiranga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Itabaiana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabaiana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.04.26	Itabaiana - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
06.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.03.26	Itabaiana - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
08.03.26	Itabaiana - América de Propriá	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Manauara - Itabaiana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
06.04.26	Ypiranga - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Athletic Club - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Ypiranga - Ji-Paraná	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
21.02.26	Internacional RS - Ypiranga	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ypiranga - Internacional RS	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
19.04.25	Ypiranga - Itabaiana	3:2

Itabaiana - Ypiranga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide