Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)


	Brusque		Caxias

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.78	3.3	Watch
	2.37	2.73	3.82
	2.39	2.61	3.73	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.3
	2.41	2.74	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.81)	2.67 ↓ (3.15)	3.52 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
39.3%

Draw
34.5%

Caxias
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusque's form might have worsened.

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Brusque - Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 15. Alex Paulino 3. Alisson Cassiano (C) 4. Cipriano 6. Davi Gabriel 7. Gazao 9. Heber 2. Jeferson 10. Joao Pedro 8. Jonatan Lucca 11. Petterson Novaes	1. Busatto G. (G) 5. Breno Santos 7. Calyson 2. Felipe Albuquerque 11. Gaspar 3. Ianson 10. Lucas Candido 8. Matheus Nunes 4. Mauricio Ribeiro (C) 6. Roberto 9. Salatiel
Substitutes
17. Adrianinho 19. Alvaro 5. Bernardo 21. Gustavo Sobral Alves Pereira L. 23. Jose Vinicius (G) 20. Leonardo 18. Macario 22. Pedro Medeiros 13. Rafael Milhorim 24. Rafa Fonseca 14. Ryan Santos	18. Felipe Rangel 15. Grigor 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 17. Luis Miguel 14. Mancha 12. Marcelo (G) 22. Marcelo Freitas 21. Matheus Anjos 16. Victor Sa 20. Vitor Feijao 13. Windson
Coaches
Higo	Fernando Marchiori

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Joao Lucas ⚽,
44', Heber 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Heber ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alex Paulino ↓, Bernardo ↑,
46', Joao Pedro ↓, Adrianinho ↑,
48', Heber ↓, Alvaro ↑,
58', Gazao 🟨,
66', Gaspar ↓, Matheus Anjos ↑,
66', Joao Lucas ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Alvaro ⚽,
73', Matheus Nunes ↓, Marcelo Freitas ↑,
73', Calyson ↓, Felipe Rangel ↑,
82', Davi Gabriel ↓, Raimar ↑,
83', Jeferson 🟨,
85', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
86', Petterson Novaes ↓, Rafael Milhorim ↑,

Preview

Caxias's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Caxias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brusque might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brusque won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Brusque: 10.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
28.02.26	Brusque - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Chapecoense - Brusque	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Brusque - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Brusque - Concórdia	2:1 penalties ✺
01.02.26	Concórdia - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWT
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	América Mineiro - Caxias	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Caxias - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Caxias - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
21.02.26	Caxias - São Luiz	0:2 penalties ✺
16.02.26	São Luiz - Caxias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
23.08.25	Caxias - Brusque	0:1

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