Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 19

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday


	Bucaspor 1928		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.4	1.72
	4.45	3.58	1.71	Watch
	4	3.25	1.75
	4.33	3.52	1.71
	4.5	3.4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.16)	3.43 ↑ (3.23)	1.71 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucaspor 1928
21.3%

Draw
26.2%

Karacabey Belediyespor
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

28%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.9%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucaspor 1928 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bucaspor 1928's form might have worsened.

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karacabey Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucaspor 1928 than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bucaspor 1928, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karacabey Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Bucaspor 1928 - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bucaspor 1928 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Karacabey Bld will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Bozkuyu B. ⚽, Akcagun B. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Cengiz S. ⚽, Yunkus T. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Bilin N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 3, Kose I. C. ⚽,
87', 1 - 4, Kose I. C. ⚽, Cengiz S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaspor 1928 won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Karacabey Bld is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bucaspor 1928 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucaspor 1928 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucaspor 1928
Turkish Second League White Group
21.12.25	Batman Petrolspor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Altınordu	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Bucaspor 1928	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Ankaragücü	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Elazığspor - Bucaspor 1928	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 LLLLW
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
21.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Beykoz Anadolu	3:1 ✺
16.12.25	Ankaraspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kastamonuspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
02.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	2:1
13.10.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Karacabey Belediyespor	3:2
Turkish Second League White Group
27.01.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0
10.09.23	Bucaspor 1928 - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
14.01.23	Bucaspor 1928 - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0
27.08.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	0:0
Turkish Second League White Group
27.02.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0

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