Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 22

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Bucaspor 1928		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.25	1.74
	5.28	3.54	1.66
	4.93	3.51	1.67	Watch
	5.12	3.58	1.6
	4.3	3.25	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (3.44)	3.43 ↓ (3.59)	1.68 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucaspor 1928
19.1%

Draw
26.6%

Serik Belediyespor
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.7%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

25.2%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucaspor 1928 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bucaspor 1928's form might have worsened.

Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serik Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucaspor 1928 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bucaspor 1928, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bucaspor 1928 - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: Serik Belediyespor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Caliskan N. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 4.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Heracles have a series of home games.

In this match Ajax is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ajax won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 42:15 (average 2.1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24:5 (average 2.7:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucaspor 1928
Turkish Second League Red Group
08.02.25	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Ankara Demirspor - Bucaspor 1928	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Erbaaspor	3:2 ✺
22.12.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Arnavutköy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTWL
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
08.02.25	Giresunspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:4 ✺
02.02.25	Serik Belediyespor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Somaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Serik Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	Serik Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
29.09.24	Serik Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0
Turkish Second League White Group
17.03.24	Serik Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	1:2
05.11.23	Bucaspor 1928 - Serik Belediyespor	2:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
11.03.23	Bucaspor 1928 - Serik Belediyespor	0:0
01.10.22	Serik Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	1:5

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