Match Info

K League 2 - Round 21

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Bucheon Stadium (Bucheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Bucheon		Chungnam Asan

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	4	Watch
	2.1	3.2	2.95
	2.18	3.25	3
	1.81	3.72	4.41
	1.88	3.53	4.00	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.17	3.32	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.35)	3.4 ↑ (3.37)	3.51 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucheon
46.2%

Draw
27.3%

Chungnam Asan
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bucheon's performance.

Chungnam Asan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chungnam Asan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bucheon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chungnam Asan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bucheon - Chungnam Asan Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bucheon will win (votes: 21 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucheon: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Chungnam Asan (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Bucheon (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bucheon will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucheon (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Chungnam Asan (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Hyung-Keun (G) 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 5. Lee S. 29. Baek Dong-Gyu 7. Thiaguinho Santos 14. Choi Jae-Young 16. Park Hyun-Bin 11. Park Chang-Jun 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 9. Montano J. 41. Galego	21. Kim Jin-Young (G) 14. Lee Hak-Min (C) 5. Byun J. 6. Choi Hee-Won 3. Baek I. 28. Son Jun-Ho 77. Chung M. 42. Hwang J. 22. Kim Seung-Ho 7. Denisson Silva 9. Kim Jong-Min
Substitutes
4. Choe Won-Cheol 99. Gong Min-Hyun 24. Kim Dong-Hyun 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 17. Kim Kyu-Min 15. Lee J. 23. Takahashi K.	72. Han Kyo-Won 20. Jo Ju-yeong 10. Kim Jong-Suk 97. Lokolingoy C. 74. Park S. 18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 19. Yu Dong-Gyu
Coaches
Lee Young-Min	Bae Sung-jae .

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Chung M. ⚽, Denisson Silva (A),
13', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Bassani ⚽, Galego (A),
45+1', Son Jun-Ho 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Montano J. ⚽, Galego (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Hwang J. ↓, Han Kyo-Won ↑,
47', 3 - 1, Montano J. ⚽, Rodrigo Bassani (A),
54', Kim Jong-Min ↓, Lokolingoy C. ↑,
57', Choi Hee-Won 🟨,
57', 3 - 2, Kim Seung-Ho ⚽, Han Kyo-Won (A),
60', 3 - 3, Denisson Silva ⚽, Lokolingoy C. (A),
67', 4 - 3, Park Chang-Jun (Pen),
68', 5 - 3, Montano J. ⚽,
71', Montano J. ↓, Takahashi K. ↑,
71', Choi Jae-Young ↓, Gong Min-Hyun ↑,
74', Chung M. ↓, Yu Dong-Gyu ↑,
74', Baek I. ↓, Kim Jong-Suk ↑,
83', Denisson Silva ↓, Park S. ↑,
84', Rodrigo Bassani ↓, Kim Dong-Hyun ↑,
86', Takahashi K. 🟨,
87', Lee S. 🟨,
90', Park Chang-Jun ↓, Kim Kyu-Min ↑,
90', Park Hyun-Bin ↓, Choe Won-Cheol ↑,
90+5', Thiaguinho Santos 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 2.

Bucheon is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chungnam Asan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chungnam Asan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bucheon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucheon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.2:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Chungnam Asan - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.94%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 2
13.07.25	Bucheon - Gimpo	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	Hwaseong - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
02.07.25	Gimpo - Bucheon	1:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
28.06.25	Bucheon - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Ansan Greeners - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWW
- Chungnam Asan
South Korean K-League 2
13.07.25	Incheon United - Chungnam Asan	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Chungnam Asan - Suwon Bluewings	2:3 ✺
28.06.25	Chungnam Asan - Seoul E-Land	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Chungnam Asan	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Chungnam Asan - Cheonan City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
25.05.25	Chungnam Asan - Bucheon	2:2
24.08.24	Chungnam Asan - Bucheon	2:2
27.05.24	Bucheon - Chungnam Asan	3:0
09.03.24	Chungnam Asan - Bucheon	1:1
02.09.23	Bucheon - Chungnam Asan	1:0
23.07.23	Chungnam Asan - Bucheon	1:0
02.05.23	Bucheon - Chungnam Asan	2:1

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