Match Info

K League 2 - Round 27

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Incheon United		Chungnam Asan

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.7	4	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.72	3.55	4.35
	1.8	3.75	4.43
	1.97	3.34	3.79	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.33
	1.73	3.58	4.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.78)	3.5 ↓ (3.64)	4.19 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
51.8%

Draw
26.2%

Chungnam Asan
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.5%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Chungnam Asan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Chungnam Asan aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Incheon United - Chungnam Asan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Incheon (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Incheon United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Incheon United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Incheon (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 39. Kim Myung-Sun 4. Kim Gun-Hee 28. Kim Geon-Ung 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 88. Jung Won-Jin 18. Baek Ming-yu 99. Park Ho-Min 77. Park Seung-Ho	18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 92. Kim Min-Hyeok 76. Lee Ho-In 6. Choi Hee-Won 27. Jung S. 10. Kim Jong-Suk 28. Son Jun-Ho 22. Kim Seung-Ho (C) 25. Park J. 72. Han Kyo-Won 97. Lokolingoy C.
Substitutes
14. Barrow M. 13. Choi Seung-gu 20. Delbridge H. 17. Kim Seong-Min 25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 9. Mugosa S. 8. Shin Jin-Ho	7. Denisson Silva 4. Jang Jun-Yeong 98. Kang M. 21. Kim Jin-Young (G) 14. Lee Hak-Min 74. Park S. 24. Park Se-Jik
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Bae Sung-jae .

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Kim Min-Hyeok 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Han Kyo-Won ⚽, Son Jun-Ho (A),
58', Park Ho-Min ↓, Mugosa S. ↑,
58', Baek Ming-yu ↓, Barrow M. ↑,
60', Jung S. ↓, Lee Hak-Min ↑,
69', Park J. 🟨,
75', Gerso ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
75', Jung Won-Jin ↓, Choi Seung-gu ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Lee Myoung-Joo ⚽, Lee Ju-Yong (A),
87', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
89', Son Jun-Ho ↓, Park Se-Jik ↑,
89', Han Kyo-Won ↓, Kang M. ↑,
90+6', Kim Min-Hyeok ↓, Jang Jun-Yeong ↑,
90+6', Lokolingoy C. ↓, Park S. ↑,
90+9', Kang M. 🟨,

Preview

Incheon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Chungnam Asan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chungnam Asan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Incheon is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Incheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
24.08.25	Cheongju - Incheon United	0:4 ✺
16.08.25	Incheon United - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Busan I Park - Incheon United	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Seoul E-Land - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Incheon United - Ansan Greeners	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWTW
- Chungnam Asan
South Korean K-League 2
24.08.25	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Ansan Greeners - Chungnam Asan	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Chungnam Asan	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Chungnam Asan - Hwaseong	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
13.07.25	Incheon United - Chungnam Asan	2:1
10.05.25	Chungnam Asan - Incheon United	0:3

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