Match Info

K League 2 - Round 39

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Bucheon Stadium (Bucheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play


	Bucheon		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.3
	1.74	3.78	4.41
	1.73	3.74	4.44	Watch
	1.99	3.25	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.73)	3.41 ↓ (3.74)	3.9 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucheon
48.9%

Draw
27.2%

Hwaseong
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bucheon's form might have worsened.

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bucheon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Bucheon - Hwaseong Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bucheon will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 15. Lee J. 5. Lee S. 61. Kim Won-Jun 66. Yu Seung-Hyun 4. Choe Won-Cheol 14. Choi Jae-Young 7. Thiaguinho Santos 24. Kim Dong-Hyun 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 22. Han Ji-Ho (C)	1. Kim S. (G) 2. Kim D. 15. Vojnovic A. 3. Cho Dong-Jae 29. Kim Jun-yeong 27. Baek Seung-Woo 6. Choi Jun-Hyeok (C) 16. Choi Myung-Hee 8. Jeon S. 41. Kim Byung-Oh 7. Arthur
Substitutes
99. Gong Min-Hyun 3. Hyun-wook N. 31. Juhyun L. . Lee C. 2. Lee Ye-chan 13. Park Hyung-Jin 48. Seong S.	22. Ahn Ji-Man 18. Kim Ki-hun (G) 14. Lee Eun-Jae 17. Lim C. 20. Park Jun-seo 5. Woo J. 19. Yoo B.
Coaches
Lee Young-Min	Cha Du-Ri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Lee J. 🟥,
25', Kim Dong-Hyun ↓, Lee Ye-chan ↑,
29', Lee Eui-Hyeong 🟨,
45+2', Kim D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Kim Byung-Oh ↓, Yoo B. ↑,
66', Kim Won-Jun ↓, Gong Min-Hyun ↑,
66', Choi Jae-Young ↓, Seong S. ↑,
66', Lee Eui-Hyeong ↓, Nam Hyeon-Wook ↑,
77', Arthur ↓, Woo J. ↑,
77', Baek Seung-Woo ↓, Lee Eun-Jae ↑,
81', Han Ji-Ho ↓, Lee C. ↑,
90', Nam Hyeon-Wook 🟨,

Preview

Bucheon is Qualified for K League 2 (Play Offs Final)

Bucheon is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hwaseong is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hwaseong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bucheon is a strong favorite.

We predict that Bucheon will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Bucheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 2
09.11.25	Gimpo - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bucheon - Ansan Greeners	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Cheongju - Bucheon	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Bucheon - Cheonan City	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Busan I Park - Bucheon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTWW
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
08.11.25	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Gimpo - Hwaseong	5:1 ✺
25.10.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Hwaseong - Suwon Bluewings	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Hwaseong - Cheongju	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
06.07.25	Hwaseong - Bucheon	0:1
17.05.25	Bucheon - Hwaseong	1:0

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