Match Info

Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 28

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday

Location: Bozsik Arena (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Budapest Honved		Kazincbarcikai

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.26	3.25	2.9
	2.35	3.5	2.78
	2.35	3.34	2.94	Watch
	2.32	3.16	3.16	Watch
	2.26	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.63)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	2.91 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Budapest Honved
40.3%

Draw
28%

Kazincbarcikai
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.9%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budapest Honved has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Budapest Honved's performance.

Kazincbarcikai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kazincbarcikai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Budapest Honved that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kazincbarcikai than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kazincbarcikai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Budapest Honved - Kazincbarcikai Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Honved will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Kazincbarcikai (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Budapest Honved will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Honved (votes: 3 - 75%). Kazincbarcikai (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Racz G. (G) 44. Baki A. 27. Bevardi Z. 15. Csonka B. 33. Hangya S. 71. Kantor K. 22. Keresztes N. 23. Medgyes Z. 99. Pekar I. 4. Szabo A. 40. Szamosi A.	1. Fadgyas T. (G) 25. Baranyai N. 27. Bodi A. 11. Herjeczki K. 10. Kartik B. 83. Kristof M. 67. Lajcsik V. 15. Lucas 19. Petho B. 13. Polgar K. 33. Varga J.
Substitutes
13. Csilus T. 20. Foldi D. 39. Hetyei S. 49. Pauljevic B. 16. Petrok V. 17. Pinte P. 38. Pinter M. 8. Siger A. 74. Simon B. 32. Somogyi A. 88. Szabo A. 83. Tujvel T. (G)	3. Bacsa B. S. 14. Csatari G. 24. Dojcsak B. (G) 63. Katona I. 52. Kiraly M. (G) 7. Makrai G. 92. Myke 23. Pinter A. 77. Szabo M. 44. Szujo A. 21. Ternovan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Medgyes Z. 🟨,
7', Kartik B. 🟨,
14', Lajcsik V. 🟨,
40', Szamosi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Herjeczki K. ↓, Makrai G. ↑,
54', Csonka B. 🟨,
54', Baki A. 🟨,
60', Petho B. ↓, Myke ↑,
66', Kantor K. ↓, Pinte P. ↑,
66', Keresztes N. ↓, Simon B. ↑,
73', Szamosi A. ↓, Somogyi A. ↑,
73', Pekar I. ↓, Csilus T. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Polgar K. ⚽,
80', Hangya S. ↓, Pauljevic B. ↑,
80', Kartik B. ↓, Csatari G. ↑,
86', Bodi A. ↓, Katona I. ↑,
88', Medgyes Z. 🟨,
88', Kristof M. 🟨,
90', Bevardi Z. 🟨,
90', Szabo A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3).

Honved is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kazincbarcikai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Honved may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Honved might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Honved won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Honved won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Budapest Honved - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.29%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB II
04.05.25	Szeged 2011 - Budapest Honved	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Budapest Honved - Békéscsaba 1912	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Szentlőrinc - Budapest Honved	0:0 ✺
14.04.25	Budapest Honved - Gyirmót	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	BVSC-Zugló - Budapest Honved	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWTWW
- Kazincbarcikai
Hungarian NB II
04.05.25	Kazincbarcikai - Soroksár	3:2 ✺
28.04.25	Szeged 2011 - Kazincbarcikai	4:1 ✺
20.04.25	Kazincbarcikai - Ajka	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Békéscsaba 1912 - Kazincbarcikai	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Kozármisleny - Kazincbarcikai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
10.11.24	Kazincbarcikai - Budapest Honved	2:0
28.04.24	Kazincbarcikai - Budapest Honved	1:0
29.10.23	Budapest Honved - Kazincbarcikai	0:1
Hungarian Cup
30.10.19	Kazincbarcikai - Budapest Honved	0:2 ET

Upcoming Matches