Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 14 December 2025, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
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 |
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 |
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Bugesera |
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Rayon Sports |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.4 |
2.72 |
2.25 |
|
 |
3.46 |
2.69 |
2.24 |
|
 |
3.49 |
2.73 |
2.3 |
 Watch |
 |
3.3 |
2.63 |
2.3 |
|
 |
3.47 |
2.66 |
2.29 |
|
 |
3.5 |
2.66 |
2.22 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↓
(4.26) |
2.68 ↓
(3) |
2.27 ↑
(1.92) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bugesera
26.3% | Draw
33.7% | Rayon Sports
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Rayon Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayon Sports might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bugesera that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayon Sports than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayon Sports could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Bugesera - Rayon Sports Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 5).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1.Recent form of Bugesera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Rayon Sports has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Rayon Sports may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Rayon Sports could have a small edge in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 7:28. (average 0.4:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 17.05.25 | Bugesera - Rayon Sports | 2:0 | | 19.10.24 | Rayon Sports - Bugesera | 2:0 | | 20.04.24 | Bugesera - Rayon Sports | 1:2 | | 01.12.23 | Rayon Sports - Bugesera | 1:0 | | 16.04.23 | Bugesera - Rayon Sports | 0:2 | | 04.12.22 | Rayon Sports - Bugesera | 1:0 | | 21.02.22 | Bugesera - Rayon Sports | 0:1 |
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