Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: The Royals Park (Butema)


	Buhimba United Saints		Mbarara City

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	4.05
	1.71	3.51	4.52	Watch
	2.03	3.12	3.74
	1.74	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.76)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	4.15 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buhimba United Saints
50.4%

Draw
27.5%

Mbarara City
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

21.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buhimba United Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buhimba United Saints than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buhimba United Saints that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Buhimba United Saints - Mbarara City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Kacancu A. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Kanyike M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 2, Agondeze E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

In recent matches, Buhimba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mbarara City has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mbarara City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Buhimba is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buhimba United Saints
Ugandan Super League
08.11.25	Lugazi Municipal - Buhimba United Saints	5:2 ✺
31.10.25	Buhimba United Saints - Villa	0:3 ✺
23.10.25	Bul - Buhimba United Saints	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Buhimba United Saints - Calvary	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Entebbe UPPC - Buhimba United Saints	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLLWW
- Mbarara City FC
Ugandan Super League
05.11.25	Express - Mbarara City	4:1 ✺
01.11.25	Mbarara City - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Kitara - Mbarara City	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	Mbarara City - Bul	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Mbarara City - UPDF	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTL

Buhimba United Saints - Mbarara City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide