Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Bukovyna Stadium (Chernivtsi)


	Bukovyna Chernivtsi		Probiy Horodenka

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.5	11.5
	1.33	4.61	8.40	Watch
	1.18	5.65	12.7
	1.18	5.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)	5.32 ↑ (4.51)	11.15 ↑ (8.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bukovyna Chernivtsi
74.6%

Draw
17.2%

Probiy Horodenka
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

20.3%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

19.3%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bukovyna Chernivtsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bukovyna Chernivtsi's performance.

Probiy Horodenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bukovyna Chernivtsi than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (+2%)

Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Probiy Horodenka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kanevtsev D. (G) 3. Bezuglyy M. 10. Boychuk B. (C) 8. Dakhnovskyi V. 25. Grusha V. 2. Karas D. 7. Kozhushko O. 12. Pidlepenets Y. 4. Sakiv T. 95. Stasyuk P. 44. Vitenchuk V.	25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 3. Bilyi I. (C) 31. Borysevych R. 23. Drekalo A. 30. Felipovych V. 22. Gavrylyuk N. 6. Ivanychuk V. 10. Orynchak B. 77. Palagnyuk V. 2. Radulskyi V. 5. Savchyn V.
Substitutes
17. Andreychuk A. 24. Busko A. 15. Gakman V. 77. Glushchuk Y. 19. Kilyevyi A. 20. Koltsov V. 74. Morgovskyi Y. 94. Penkov G. (G) 22. Plaksa R. 37. Prokopchuk K. 14. Shynkarenko D. 27. Tyshchenko I.	12. Barabanov V. (G) 19. Dmytruk I. 8. Drygan B. 26. Golodryga R. 16. Guk I. 9. Pylypchuk D. 11. Sondey I. 17. Volynets D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 12).

Bukovyna has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Probiy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bukovyna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bukovyna is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Bukovyna will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bukovyna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.11.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:3 ✺
15.11.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
28.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Nyva Ternopil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWWW
- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.11.25	Probiy Horodenka - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Probiy Horodenka	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Probiy Horodenka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.25	Probiy Horodenka - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	3:4
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.24	Probiy Horodenka - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:1

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