Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Probiy Horodenka		Livyi Bereh Kyiv

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.7
	4.78	3.73	1.64	Watch
	5.04	3.5	1.62
	4.9	3.55	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↓ (4.9)	3.55 (3.55)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Probiy Horodenka
18.8%

Draw
25.8%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

25.6%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

24.7%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Probiy Horodenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Probiy Horodenka - Livyi Bereh Kyiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 3. Bilyi I. (C) 31. Borysevych R. 22. Gavrylyuk N. 16. Guk I. 6. Ivanychuk V. 15. Kharuk R. 10. Orynchak B. 9. Pylypchuk D. 2. Radulskyi V. 11. Sondey I.	12. Zhmurko R. (G) 8. Diego Henrique 25. Kosovskyi S. 52. Kryvoruchko O. 5. Samar V. (C) 7. Shastal D. 6. Sidnney 2. Sokolov O. 17. Vorobchak N. 29. Wendell 97. Yakymiv A.
Substitutes
90. Babanin V. 12. Barabanov V. (G) 23. Drekalo A. 8. Drygan B. 26. Golodryga R. 77. Palagnyuk V. 44. Pasichnyk V. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Sikach M. 17. Volynets D.	27. Astakhov E. 90. Bonsu N. 4. Chuev B. 11. Galoyan S. 9. Gunichev Y. 1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 10. Riznyk A. 21. Sukhoruchko D. 22. Tishchenko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Recent performances by Probiy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Livyi Bereh is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Livyi Bereh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Livyi Bereh has had a series of home games.

In this match, Livyi Bereh is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Probiy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.11.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Probiy Horodenka	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Probiy Horodenka	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Inhulets	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTWL
- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.11.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	4:1 ✺
12.11.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Inhulets	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:5 ✺
26.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.08.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Probiy Horodenka	3:1

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