Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: FUFA Technical Centre (Njeru)


	Bul		Lugazi Municipal

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.65	5.9
	1.53	4.21	4.23
	1.47	4.15	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.34)	4 ↓ (4)	5.23 ↓ (8.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bul
60.2%

Draw
22.5%

Lugazi Municipal
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

22.5%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

21.4%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bul's form might have worsened.

Lugazi Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugazi Municipal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bul than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugazi Municipal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bul - Lugazi Municipal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Lugazi has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bul is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bul won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Bul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	BUL	5	4	1	0	11:3	8	13
11	Lugazi	6	2	1	3	4:9	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BIDCO Bul FC
Ugandan Super League
08.05.26	Villa - Bul	0:0 ✺
28.04.26	Bul - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Express - Bul	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Bul - UPDF	2:5 ✺
16.04.26	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Bul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWLT
- Lugazi Municipal FC
Ugandan Super League
06.05.26	Lugazi Municipal - Mbarara City	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Buhimba United Saints - Lugazi Municipal	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Lugazi Municipal - Kitara	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Lugazi Municipal - Villa	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Lugazi Municipal - Entebbe UPPC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
27.01.26	Lugazi Municipal - Bul	2:1
29.04.25	Bul - Lugazi Municipal	4:0
03.01.25	Lugazi Municipal - Bul	1:2

Upcoming Matches