Match Info
Premier League - Round 24Date: 21 April 2026, TuesdayLocation: FUFA Technical Centre (Njeru)
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Bul |
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UPDF |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.55 |
3.45 |
5.7 |
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1.62 |
3.93 |
4.57 |
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1.64 |
4.04 |
4.24 |
 Watch |
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1.62 |
3.6 |
4.33 |
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1.61 |
3.98 |
4.37 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.49) |
3.8 ↑
(3.51) |
4.64 ↓
(6.36) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bul
56.5% | Draw
23.9% | UPDF
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UPDF's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bul than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UPDF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Bul - UPDF Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Bul (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bul (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 7', 0 - 1, Ochen E. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Ssewagudde D. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 2, Bogere I. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 3, Bogere I. ⚽,
- 45+3', 1 - 4, Lubwama E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', 1 - 5, Faridi R. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 5, Onek H. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bul won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Recently, UPDF has had a series of home games. In this match, Bul is a strong favorite.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bul won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.1:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Bul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 12 |
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| 10 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 30.01.26 | UPDF - Bul | 0:1 | | 04.12.24 | Bul - UPDF | 0:2 | | 12.03.24 | Bul - UPDF | 0:1 | | 09.11.23 | UPDF - Bul | 2:0 | | 21.02.23 | UPDF - Bul | 1:1 | | 01.03.22 | Bul - UPDF | 5:1 | | 22.12.21 | UPDF - Bul | 2:1 |
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