Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League B/C - Relegation - Final

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Hristo Botev (Plovdiv)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Orange TV Go
Russia	Okko Sport
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+


	Bulgaria		Ireland

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.88	2.38
	3.25	3	2.25
	3.4	2.9	2.42
	3.44	3.02	2.34
	3.44	3	2.35	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.3
	3.61	3.04	2.45	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.1)	2.96 ↓ (3.2)	2.36 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bulgaria
27.8%

Draw
32.1%

Ireland
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.6%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bulgaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Ireland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Bulgaria - Ireland Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Bulgaria will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Ireland will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitov D. (G) Aberdeen 14. Nedyalkov A. Ludogorets 3. Atanasov Z. Cherno More 5. Petkov A. Slask Wroclaw 19. Nurnberger F. Darmstadt 11. Despodov K. (C) PAOK 20. Krastev F. Zwolle 4. Gruev I. Leeds 21. Petkov L. Elversberg 8. Kraev A. Casa Pia 16. Petkov M. Levski Sofia	1. Kelleher C. (G) Liverpool 2. Doherty M. Wolves 22. Collins N. (C) Brentford 4. O'Shea D. Ipswich 3. Manning R. Southampton 8. Knight J. Bristol City 6. Cullen J. Burnley 7. Azaz F. Middlesbrough 21. Johnston M. West Brom 11. Brady R. Preston 15. Parrott T. AZ Alkmaar
Substitutes
6. Antov V. Cremonese 22. Iliev I. CSKA Sofia 23. Iliev P. (G) Cherno More 7. Kirilov R. CSKA 1948 Sofia 10. Kraev B. Western Sydney Wanderers 17. Minkov N. Botev Plovdiv 9. Nikolov V. Slavia Sofia 18. Panayotov V. Cherno More 15. Petrov S. Fehervar FC 12. Sheytanov D. (G) Septemvri Sofia 13. Shopov S. CSKA Sofia	20. Abankwah J. Watford 19. Armstrong S. Bristol City 16. Bazunu G. (G) St. Liege 12. Dunne J. QPR 9. Ferguson E. West Ham 10. Idah A. Celtic 17. Moran A. Stoke City 5. O'Brien J. Everton 13. Sykes M. Bristol City 18. Taylor J. Ipswich 23. Travers M. (G) Middlesbrough 14. Vata R. Watford
Coaches
Iliev I.	Hallgrimsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Petkov M. ⚽, Krastev F. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Azaz F. ⚽, Parrott T. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Doherty M. ⚽, Cullen J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mitov D. ↓, Iliev P. ↑,
47', Azaz F. 🟨,
51', Johnston M. 🟨,
59', Kraev A. 🟨,
61', Atanasov Z. 🟨,
61', Knight J. 🟨,
72', Nurnberger F. ↓, Minkov N. ↑,
72', Petkov L. ↓, Kraev B. ↑,
76', Parrott T. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
76', Johnston M. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
76', Azaz F. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
79', Manning R. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
80', Knight J. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
81', Vata R. 🟨,
85', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
86', Krastev F. ↓, Iliev I. ↑,
86', Kraev A. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
90+5', Minkov N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Ireland will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bulgaria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bulgaria
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Bulgaria - Belarus	1:1 ✺
15.11.24	Luxembourg - Bulgaria	0:1 ✺
15.10.24	Northern Ireland - Bulgaria	5:0 ✺
12.10.24	Bulgaria - Luxembourg	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Bulgaria - Northern Ireland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLTW
- Ireland
UEFA Nations League
17.11.24	England - Ireland	5:0 ✺
14.11.24	Ireland - Finland	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Greece - Ireland	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Finland - Ireland	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Ireland - Greece	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
18.11.20	Ireland - Bulgaria	0:0
03.09.20	Bulgaria - Ireland	1:1
Friendly
10.09.19	Ireland - Bulgaria	3:1

Bulgaria - Ireland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide