Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 4

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	ITV X
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, VIX App


	Northern Ireland		Bulgaria

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.75
	1.93	3.1	4.6
	1.9	3.2	4.5
	1.95	3.15	4.76
	2	3.17	4.03	Watch
	1.99	3.33	4.73	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.89)	3.19 ↓ (3.47)	4.55 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: fubo Sports Network 5

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Current Win Probability

Northern Ireland
49.2%

Draw
29.9%

Bulgaria
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Ireland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bulgaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	9.5%	14.3%

Northern Ireland - Bulgaria Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Northern Ireland will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Bulgaria will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northern Ireland: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Charles P. (G) Sheffield Wed 5. Hume T. Sunderland 17. McNair P. West Brom 4. Toal E. Bolton 2. Bradley C. (C) Liverpool 19. Charles S. Sheffield Wed 16. McCann A. Preston 20. Spencer B. Huddersfield 14. Price I. St. Liege 10. Charles D. Bolton 8. Marshall C. Huddersfield	1. Mitov D. (G) Aberdeen 2. Popov V. Cherno More 3. Atanasov Z. Cherno More 15. Petrov S. Slask Wroclaw 5. Petrov H. CSKA Sofia 20. Yusein S. Krumovgrad 7. Kostadinov G. APOEL 11. Despodov K. (C) PAOK 8. Kirilov R. CSKA 1948 Sofia 17. Minchev M. Rizespor 14. Krastev F. Zwolle
Substitutes
7. Bonis L. Den Haag 18. Boyd-Munce C. St. Mirren 22. Brown C. Oxford Utd 3. Lewis J. Sao Paulo 13. Lyons B. Kilmarnock 21. Magennis J. Exeter 23. Pym C. (G) Mansfield 9. Reid J. Stevenage 6. Saville G. Millwall 11. Smyth P. QPR 1. Southwood L. (G) Bolton 15. Thompson J. Stoke City	6. Antov V. Cremonese 18. Chochev I. Ludogorets 9. Dimitrov Z. Bodrumspor 23. Dyulgerov I. (G) CSKA Sofia 22. Iliev I. CSKA Sofia 12. Ivanov S. Arda 13. Lyaskov A. Lok. Plovdiv 10. Minchev G. Umraniyespor 4. Minchev I. Slavia Sofia 16. Panayotov V. Cherno More 19. Turitsov I. CSKA Sofia 21. Vutsov S. (G) Slavia Sofia
Coaches
O'Neill Mi.	Iliev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Price I. ⚽, Charles D. (A),
25', Price I. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Price I. ⚽, Spencer B. (A),
30', Despodov K. 🟨,
32', 3 - 0, Mitov D. (Own goal), Spencer B. (A),
38', Krastev F. 🟨,
41', Toal E. 🟨,
44', Despodov K. (Pen),
45', Toal E. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yusein S. ↓, Antov V. ↑,
46', Kirilov R. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
74', Charles D. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
74', Marshall C. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
79', Atanasov Z. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Price I. ⚽, Charles S. (A),
85', Charles S. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
85', Price I. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
85', Minchev M. ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
85', Despodov K. ↓, Iliev I. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Magennis J. ⚽, Smyth P. (A),

Preview

In this match Northern Ireland is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Northern Ireland won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Ireland
UEFA Nations League
12.10.24	Belarus - Northern Ireland	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Bulgaria - Northern Ireland	1:0 ✺
05.09.24	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	2:0 ✺
Friendly
11.06.24	Northern Ireland - Andorra	2:0 ✺
08.06.24	Spain - Northern Ireland	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWWL
- Bulgaria
UEFA Nations League
12.10.24	Bulgaria - Luxembourg	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Bulgaria - Northern Ireland	1:0 ✺
05.09.24	Belarus - Bulgaria	0:0 ✺
Friendly
08.06.24	Slovenia - Bulgaria	1:1 ✺
04.06.24	Romania - Bulgaria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
08.09.24	Bulgaria - Northern Ireland	1:0
FIFA World Cup
12.10.21	Bulgaria - Northern Ireland	2:1
31.03.21	Northern Ireland - Bulgaria	0:0

Northern Ireland - Bulgaria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide