Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 4

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de Luxembourg (Luxembourg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	05:45	beIN Connect
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belgium	20:45	BNT News App
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	15:45	Disney+
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 10
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+
France	20:45	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports Extra 2
Iceland	18:45	Viaplay
India	00:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kenya	21:45	Gotv
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Luxembourg	20:45	RTL 2, RTL 2
Mexico	12:45	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
Nigeria	19:45	SuperSport Action
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	23:45	Tapmad
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Romania	21:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport Action
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+


	Luxembourg		Bulgaria

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3
	2.30	2.90	3.20
	2.25	2.92	3.35
	2.37	3.15	3.53
	2.32	3.02	3.44	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.45
	2.37	3.08	3.52	Watch
	2.31	3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.02)	3.01 ↓ (3.55)	3.39 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luxembourg
40.8%

Draw
31.4%

Bulgaria
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luxembourg's form might have worsened.

Bulgaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.2%	48.4%	6.5%

Luxembourg - Bulgaria Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Luxembourg will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Bulgaria will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.1% – 67.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bulgaria (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moris A. (C) Al Khaleej 4. Bohnert F. Hansa Rostock 5. Selimovic V. Iberia 1999 13. Carlson D. Dinamo Batumi 14. Veiga E. Bissen 6. de Sousa T. Bodrumspor 8. Duarte E. 15. Natami O. UNA Strassen 11. Thill V. Mannheim 17. Kadamani H. Metz 9. Videira J. Mainz	1. Naumov D. (G) Botev Plovdiv 2. Stoyanov Y. H. Beer Sheva 13. Velkov S. Sonderjyske 6. Tsenov E. Orenburg 15. Petrov H. Heerenveen 8. Kraev A. Hapoel Tel Aviv 4. Gruev I. (C) Leeds 17. Minchev M. Cracovia 11. Rusev G. CSKA 1948 Sofia 18. Balov K. Crvena zvezda 9. Iliev A. CSKA 1948 Sofia
Substitutes
7. Dardari A. RW Essen 2. Dzogovic E. Magdeburg 23. Fox L. (G) Bocholt 20. Goncalves M. Dusseldorf 18. Ikene S. Erfurt 16. Kips T. (G) Phonix Lubeck 22. Martins M. FK Liepaja 19. Olesen M. Sonderjyske 12. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) RAAL La Louviere 3. Qevani A. RFC Liege 10. Rupil T. Helsingborg 21. Thill S. Differdange	23. Bozhev A. (G) CSKA 1948 Sofia 14. Chandarov A. Botev Plovdiv 5. Dimitrov K. Levski Sofia 10. Dimitrov Z. Mardin 1969 3. Hristov A. Vizela 21. Ivanov S. Arda 12. Mitov D. (G) St. Pauli 20. Nikolov V. Slavia Sofia 16. Panayotov P. CSKA Sofia 22. Stoyanov K. Slavia Sofia 7. Tsonev B. CSKA 1948 Sofia 19. Turitsov I. Dinamo Batumi
Coaches
Strasser J.	Ribarski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Balov K. ⚽, Tsenov E. (A),
31', Rusev G. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Iliev A. ⚽, Rusev G. (A),
41', Velkov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moris A. ↓, Pereira Cardoso T. ↑,
46', Videira J. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
46', Duarte E. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
50', Rusev G. ↓, Panayotov P. ↑,
51', Stoyanov Y. 🟨,
66', Balov K. ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
66', Iliev A. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
67', de Sousa T. ↓, Rupil T. ↑,
78', Veiga E. ↓, Thill S. ↑,
82', Carlson D. 🟨,
83', Minchev M. ↓, Dimitrov K. ↑,

Preview

Luxembourg is ranked FIFA: 98., and Bulgaria is ranked FIFA: 85..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luxembourg won 1.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Luxembourg holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Luxembourg has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luxembourg
UEFA Nations League
03.10.26	Estonia - Luxembourg	1:0 ✺
29.09.26	Luxembourg - Iceland	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Bulgaria - Luxembourg	1:2 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	Albania - Luxembourg	0:1 ✺
03.06.26	Luxembourg - Italy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LLWWL
- Bulgaria
UEFA Nations League
03.10.26	Iceland - Bulgaria	3:0 ✺
29.09.26	Bulgaria - Estonia	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Bulgaria - Luxembourg	1:2 ✺
Friendly
05.06.26	Moldova - Bulgaria	2:2 ✺
01.06.26	Bulgaria - Montenegro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
26.09.26	Bulgaria - Luxembourg	1:2
15.11.24	Luxembourg - Bulgaria	0:1
12.10.24	Bulgaria - Luxembourg	0:0
Friendly
20.11.22	Luxembourg - Bulgaria	0:0
FIFA World Cup
10.10.17	Luxembourg - Bulgaria	1:1
06.09.16	Bulgaria - Luxembourg	4:3

Luxembourg - Bulgaria