Match Info

EUROPE: EURO - QUALIFICATION - ROUND 4

Date: 20 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	CMore
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Sport, SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Bulgaria		Serbia

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.45
	7	4.2	1.47
	7	4.15	1.52
	7	4.33	1.48
	7.46	4.4	1.49
	7	4	1.36
	7.1	4.45	1.46
	7.4	4.4	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (4.33)	4.27 ↑ (3.6)	1.46 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bulgaria
13.2%

Draw
22.2%

Serbia
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26.3%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bulgaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bulgaria's form might have worsened.

Serbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serbia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.8%	2.3%	91.9%

Bulgaria - Serbia Predictions

Users Predictions: Serbia will win (79 of 86 users predict this - 91.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.08% – 97.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dyulgerov I. (G) 6. Popov V. 23. Antov V. 15. Hristov P. 4. Gruev I. 22. Petkov M. 16. Iliev N. 8. Kraev A. 18. Chochev I. 10. Rusev G. 11. Despodov K. (C)	23. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 4. Milenkovic N. 8. Gudelj N. 2. Pavlovic S. 14. Zivkovic A. 7. Lukic S. 6. Maksimovic N. 11. Kostic F. 10. Tadic D. (C) 20. Milinkovic-Savic S. 9. Joveljic D.
Substitutes
21. Andreev P. (G) 9. Delev S. 2. Galchev P. 20. Krastev F. 19. Minchev M. 1. Naumov D. (G) 5. Petkov A. 17. Petrov H. 3. Petrov S. 7. Shopov S. 14. Stefanov I. 13. Stoyanov Y.	5. Babic S. 21. Djuricic F. 15. Erakovic S. 16. Grujic M. 17. Ilic I. 18. Jovanovic D. 22. Lazovic D. 3. Mladenovic F. 12. Petrovic D. (G) 19. Racic U. 1. Rajkovic P. (G) 13. Samardzic L.
Coaches
Krstajic M.	Stojkovic D.

Preview

Bulgaria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Serbia is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bulgaria
UEFA Euro
17.06.23	Lithuania - Bulgaria	1:1 ✺
27.03.23	Hungary - Bulgaria	3:0 ✺
24.03.23	Bulgaria - Montenegro	0:1 ✺
Friendly
20.11.22	Luxembourg - Bulgaria	0:0 ✺
16.11.22	Cyprus - Bulgaria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLTW
- Serbia
Friendly
16.06.23	Serbia - Jordan	3:2 ✺
UEFA Euro
27.03.23	Montenegro - Serbia	0:2 ✺
24.03.23	Serbia - Lithuania	2:0 ✺
Friendly
25.01.23	USA - Serbia	1:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
02.12.22	Serbia - Switzerland	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWL

Bulgaria - Serbia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide