Match Info

EUROPE: EURO - QUALIFICATION - ROUND 3

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas (Kaunas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	23:00	Optus Sport
Belgium	15:00	Eleven Sports
Bulgaria	16:00	BNT 1, BNT 3
Croatia	15:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 2
Finland	16:00	CMore, CMore Sport
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports
Italy	15:00	Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport
Malaysia	21:00	Astro
Poland	15:00	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	15:00	SportKlub
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	14:00	Viaplay


	Lithuania		Bulgaria

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.2
	3.6	3.1	2.15
	3.55	3.2	2.2
	3.7	3.05	2.2
	3.81	3.14	2.24
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.64	3.2	2.16
	3.6	3.2	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.46)	3.14 ↓ (3.19)	2.18 (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lithuania
26.5%

Draw
30.2%

Bulgaria
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.3%

29.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Bulgaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.4%	19.6%	75%

Lithuania - Bulgaria Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 3 - 5.4%). Bulgaria will win (votes: 42 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bulgaria: 63.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gertmonas E. (G) 13. Lasickas J. 20. Lekiatas R. 4. Girdvainis E. 3. Beneta M. 22. Vorobjovas M. 18. Verbickas O. 11. Sesplaukis D. 15. Gineitis G. 23. Jankauskas E. 10. Cernych F. (C)	12. Dyulgerov I. (G) 2. Galchev P. 23. Antov V. 5. Petkov A. 4. Gruev I. 19. Minchev M. 7. Shopov S. 18. Chochev I. 22. Petkov M. 11. Despodov K. (C) 9. Delev S.
Substitutes
5. Kazukolovas K. 2. Klimavicius L. 16. Paukste L. (G) 19. Paulauskas G. 21. Romanovskij D. 7. Sirgedas G. 17. Sirvys P. 14. Steponavicius F. 6. Tutyskinas A. 9. Upstas K. 8. Uzela K. 1. Zubas E. (G)	21. Andreev P. (G) 15. Hristov P. 16. Iliev N. 8. Kraev A. 20. Krastev F. 1. Naumov D. (G) 3. Petrov S. 6. Popov V. 10. Rusev G. 14. Stefanov I. 13. Stoyanov Y. 17. Yordanov I.
Coaches
Jankauskas E.	Krstajic M.

Preview

Bulgaria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lithuania won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lithuania
Friendly
27.03.23	Greece - Lithuania	0:0 ✺
UEFA Euro
24.03.23	Serbia - Lithuania	2:0 ✺
Baltic Cup
19.11.22	Estonia - Lithuania	2:0 ✺
16.11.22	Lithuania - Iceland	0:1 penalties ✺
UEFA Nations League
25.09.22	Luxembourg - Lithuania	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 TLLLL
- Bulgaria
UEFA Euro
27.03.23	Hungary - Bulgaria	3:0 ✺
24.03.23	Bulgaria - Montenegro	0:1 ✺
Friendly
20.11.22	Luxembourg - Bulgaria	0:0 ✺
16.11.22	Cyprus - Bulgaria	0:2 ✺
UEFA Nations League
26.09.22	North Macedonia - Bulgaria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
09.10.21	Lithuania - Bulgaria	3:1
05.09.21	Bulgaria - Lithuania	1:0

Lithuania - Bulgaria