Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Xorazm Stadium (Urgench)


	Xorazm Urganch		Sogdiana Jizzakh

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.20	2.10
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.77	3.5	2.51
	2.7	3.26	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.45
	2.7	3.43	2.39
	2.65	3.3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.93)	3.28 ↓ (3.6)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xorazm Urganch
33.4%

Draw
27.9%

Sogdiana Jizzakh
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

26%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xorazm Urganch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sogdiana Jizzakh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogdiana Jizzakh than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Xorazm Urganch - Sogdiana Jizzakh Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sogdiana will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Ergashev U. (C) 22. Khamidzhonov S. 25. Rom M. 2. Ortiqboyev D. 15. Pirmukhamedov A. 8. Abdikholikov N. 96. Rafael Sabino 17. Nugumanov D. 71. Sultonov U. 90. Khoshimov U. 94. Abdukhamidov R.	27. Mitrovic M. (G) 4. Dzhumatov B. 13. Ivanovic F. 3. Kobilov I. (C) 2. Dzhuraboev Z. 6. Askarov B. 22. Abdurashidov A. 7. Micin P. 8. Boltaboev J. 19. Urinboev Z. 9. Zajmovic D.
Substitutes
9. Azimov S. 7. Ismoilov T. 88. Khusinov A. 13. Lohan . Mukhammadjonov M. (G) 6. Muzaffarov N. . Otakhonov A. 12. Shiryaev M. 20. Yejov D.	55. Ajesaliyev A. 18. Golban I. 10. Kakhramonov J. 50. Kamolov S. 28. Mavlonkulov S. 15. Mustafokulov K. 74. Nadzhafaliev B. (G) 77. Nurmatov O. 32. Soyibov N.
Coaches
Tokov S.	Bakaev U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Dzhuraboev Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sultonov U. ↓, Lohan ↑,
56', Zajmovic D. ↓, Kamolov S. ↑,
56', Micin P. ↓, Soyibov N. ↑,
56', Dzhuraboev Z. ↓, Kakhramonov J. ↑,
56', Urinboev Z. ↓, Mavlonkulov S. ↑,
59', Abdurashidov A. 🟨,
71', Abdikholikov N. ↓, Otakhonov A. ↑,
71', Abdukhamidov R. ↓, Azimov S. ↑,
74', Askarov B. ↓, Ajesaliyev A. ↑,
78', Nugumanov D. 🟨,
80', Nugumanov D. ↓, Ismoilov T. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 10).

Recent form of Xorazm has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sogdiana is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Xorazm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Xorazm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Sogdiana	22	8	4	10	38:43	-5	28
14	Xorazm Urganch	23	5	7	11	20:34	-14	22

Last Results with these Odds

Sogdiana Jizzakh - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xorazm Urganch
Uzbek League
03.09.26	AGMK - Xorazm Urganch	1:0 ✺
25.08.26	Andijan - Xorazm Urganch	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Xorazm Urganch - Lokomotiv Tashkent	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch	2:2 ✺
07.08.26	Xorazm Urganch - Mashal Mubarek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTW
- Sogdiana Jizzakh
Uzbek League
05.09.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Mashal Mubarek	5:2 ✺
18.08.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Qizilqum	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Surkhon Termez - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:3 ✺
06.08.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Andijan	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Mashal Mubarek - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
16.07.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Xorazm Urganch	2:0
09.11.25	Xorazm Urganch - Sogdiana Jizzakh	0:2
19.06.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Xorazm Urganch	1:0

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