Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Burgess Hill Town		Brentwood Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.65	1.98
	3.12	3.75	1.93
	3.05	3.97	1.97	Watch
	3	3.4	1.95
	3.16	3.68	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.74)	3.69 ↓ (3.85)	1.96 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
29.4%

Draw
24.4%

Brentwood Town
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

23.9%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

23.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Brentwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Burgess Hill Town - Brentwood Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Bennett K. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Johnson L. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Whelpdale Ch. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Pope B. ⚽,
57', 3 - 2, Kaiser E. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Burgess Hill has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brentwood is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brentwood will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Burgess Hill won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Burgess Hill: 3.29% Brentwood: 2.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Burgess Hill	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13
17	Brentwood	9	3	0	6	15:16	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.03.26	Billericay Town - Burgess Hill Town	4:0 ✺
21.03.26	Burgess Hill Town - Chatham Town	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Ramsgate - Burgess Hill Town	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Burgess Hill Town - Welling United	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Wingate & Finchley - Burgess Hill Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWT
- Brentwood Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.03.26	Brentwood Town - Chatham Town	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Brentwood Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Hashtag United - Brentwood Town	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Brentwood Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Wingate & Finchley - Brentwood Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.08.25	Brentwood Town - Burgess Hill Town	2:1
27.02.16	Burgess Hill Town - Brentwood Town	1:1
23.01.16	Brentwood Town - Burgess Hill Town	1:1

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