Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Burgess Hill Town		Canvey Island

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.95	3.15
	1.81	3.78	3.51
	1.92	3.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)	3.84 ↑ (3.82)	3.3 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
49%

Draw
23.6%

Canvey Island
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

23.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

23.5%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgess Hill Town's form might have worsened.

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canvey Island's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgess Hill Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canvey Island, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgess Hill Town - Canvey Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Fiddes M. ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, Fiddes M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Burgess Hill is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Canvey Island's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Burgess Hill has had a series of home games.

Recently, Canvey Island has had a series of away games.

Burgess Hill could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:4 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Whitehawk	2:2 ✺
13.10.25	Carshalton Athletic - Burgess Hill Town	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Hashtag United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Potters Bar Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWWW
- Canvey Island
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Leatherhead - Canvey Island	2:1 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Canvey Island - Brentwood Town	3:2 ✺
11.10.25	Potters Bar Town - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.02.17	Canvey Island - Burgess Hill Town	2:1
14.02.17	Burgess Hill Town - Canvey Island	1:1
16.04.16	Canvey Island - Burgess Hill Town	3:3
12.12.15	Burgess Hill Town - Canvey Island	3:2

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