Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/128-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Burgess Hill Town		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.55	2.88
	2.23	3.5	2.89
	2.36	3.4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.97)	3.48 ↓ (3.7)	2.77 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
40.7%

Draw
26.3%

Folkestone Invicta
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

24.9%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

24.9%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgess Hill Town's performance.

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Folkestone Invicta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgess Hill Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folkestone Invicta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Hutchinson J. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Strouts J. ⚽,
36', 0 - 3, Jebb J. ⚽,
39', 1 - 3, Vukoje S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 4, Hutchinson J. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Burgess Hill may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Folkestone is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Whitehawk	2:2 ✺
13.10.25	Carshalton Athletic - Burgess Hill Town	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Hashtag United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Potters Bar Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.09.25	Dartford - Burgess Hill Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWWT
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.10.25	Folkestone Invicta - Lewes	6:0 ✺
18.10.25	Folkestone Invicta - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Southend United - Folkestone Invicta	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Dunstable - Folkestone Invicta	1:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:3
05.01.19	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:0
15.09.18	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	1:1
30.12.17	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	3:1
19.08.17	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:1
02.01.17	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	3:1
29.08.16	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	4:2

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