Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Burgess Hill Town		Cheshunt

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.6	2.68
	2.21	3.64	2.74
	2.21	3.79	2.7	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.75
	2.16	3.6	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)	3.59 ↓ (3.78)	2.73 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
41.5%

Draw
25.3%

Cheshunt
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

24.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

23.3%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cheshunt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Burgess Hill Town - Cheshunt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Rea G. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Coker K. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Bennett K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 3, Granville S. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Burgess Hill will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burgess Hill won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Burgess Hill	13	5	5	3	24:20	4	20
16	Cheshunt	14	3	6	5	14:22	-8	15

Last Results with these Odds

Burgess Hill Town - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.86%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Cheshunt - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.82%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.04.26	Chichester City - Burgess Hill Town	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Burgess Hill Town - Brentwood Town	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Billericay Town - Burgess Hill Town	4:0 ✺
21.03.26	Burgess Hill Town - Chatham Town	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Ramsgate - Burgess Hill Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLLW
- Cheshunt FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.04.26	Cheshunt - Potters Bar Town	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Hashtag United - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Cheshunt - Whitehawk	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Aveley - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
17.03.26	Whitehawk - Cheshunt	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Cheshunt - Burgess Hill Town	1:1

Burgess Hill Town - Cheshunt