Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Burgess Hill Town		Dulwich Hamlet

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.30	2.80
	2.05	3.35	2.9
	2.17	3.5	2.94
	2.13	3.63	2.93	Watch
	2.12	3.45	2.9
	2.19	3.76	2.88
	2.16	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.44)	3.48 ↑ (3.43)	2.89 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
42.5%

Draw
26.1%

Dulwich Hamlet
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37%

26.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

26.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgess Hill Town's performance.

Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dulwich Hamlet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgess Hill Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+5%)

Burgess Hill Town - Dulwich Hamlet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Daly J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Pope B. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 0.

In recent matches, Burgess Hill has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dulwich is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Burgess Hill may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dulwich Hamlet	14	6	3	5	23:22	1	21
11	Burgess Hill	13	5	5	3	24:20	4	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.10.26	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Burgess Hill Town - Maldon & Tiptree	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Burgess Hill Town - Ramsgate	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Whitehawk - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Burgess Hill Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTTW
- Dulwich Hamlet
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.10.26	Enfield Town - Dulwich Hamlet	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Salisbury - Dulwich Hamlet	5:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.09.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Aveley	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Brentwood Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Dulwich Hamlet - East Grinstead Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Burgess Hill Town	2:0
15.11.25	Burgess Hill Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
07.04.18	Burgess Hill Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
21.10.17	Dulwich Hamlet - Burgess Hill Town	3:2
15.04.17	Burgess Hill Town - Dulwich Hamlet	0:3
10.09.16	Dulwich Hamlet - Burgess Hill Town	2:1
19.03.16	Dulwich Hamlet - Burgess Hill Town	1:1

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