Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Burgess Hill Town		Aveley

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.40	2.40
	2.45	3.72	2.45	Watch
	2.41	3.42	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.45)	3.51 ↓ (3.72)	2.42 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
37.2%

Draw
25.6%

Aveley
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Burgess Hill Town - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 16th).

Burgess Hill is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Aveley has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Burgess Hill could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Burgess Hill has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Burgess Hill against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Burgess Hill: 3.29% Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Burgess Hill	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Aveley - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.10.26	Burgess Hill Town - Maldon & Tiptree	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Burgess Hill Town - Ramsgate	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Whitehawk - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Burgess Hill Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cheshunt - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTWT
- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.10.26	Cheshunt - Aveley	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Aveley	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.09.26	Aveley - Ware	3:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.09.26	Aveley - Wingate & Finchley	3:4 ✺
12.09.26	Aveley - Leatherhead	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	2:5
15.08.25	Aveley - Burgess Hill Town	3:3
English FA Trophy
28.10.17	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	2:0
18.10.14	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	1:0

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