Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Burgos		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.1	3.05	3.35
	2.44	2.85	2.85
	2.47	3.06	3.09
	2.38	2.88	3
	2.38	3.08	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.29)	3.02 ↓ (3.17)	3 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
39.2%

Draw
30.3%

Celta de Vigo B
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

21.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Burgos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burgos - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Burgos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Celta de Vigo B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Burgos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Burgos won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.05.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - Burgos	1:0 ✺
25.04.21	Burgos - Zamora	3:0 ✺
18.04.21	Celta de Vigo B - Burgos	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Burgos - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
04.04.21	Zamora - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTWT
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.05.21	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
25.04.21	Valladolid B - Celta de Vigo B	0:5 ✺
18.04.21	Celta de Vigo B - Burgos	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	0:3 ✺
03.04.21	Celta de Vigo B - Valladolid B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.04.21	Celta de Vigo B - Burgos	1:1
12.05.19	Burgos - Celta de Vigo B	2:1
22.12.18	Celta de Vigo B - Burgos	0:1
19.02.17	Burgos - Celta de Vigo B	2:0
02.10.16	Celta de Vigo B - Burgos	4:1
30.01.16	Celta de Vigo B - Burgos	0:1
13.09.15	Burgos - Celta de Vigo B	3:1

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