Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, TVG 2


	Celta de Vigo B		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.35	2.95	2.8
	2.46	3.05	2.9
	2.54	2.97	2.99
	2.45	2.94	2.94
	2.45	3.02	2.91
	2.46	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.42)	3 ↓ (3.23)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
37.6%

Draw
30.6%

Leonesa
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vidal Girona M. V. (G) 4. Alonso G. 6. Meixus P. 21. Fernandez M. 29. Gavian P. 8. Roman M. 10. de la Iglesia D. 3. Tincho 22. Lopez F. 19. Rodriguez E. 9. Escobar J.	1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 16. Maestre S. 8. Barri 7. Calderon C. 21. Artola J. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.
Substitutes
15. Antanon A. 31. Arcos A. 34. Barreiros I. 14. Burcio H. 1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 28. Conde M. 7. Diez S. 25. Fernandez C. G. (G) 23. Garriel I. 11. Guedes J. 17. Somuah B. 2. Vicente	20. Alba T. 14. Bicho 19. Escobar A. 5. Fornos Q. 12. Ortega G. 22. Pibe 6. Presa K. 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ⚽,
31', Maestre S. 🟨,
41', Meixus P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rodriguez E. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
46', Justo M. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Alonso G. ⚽,
66', Meixus P. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
67', Artola J. 🟨,
68', Artola J. ↓, Bicho ↑,
68', Calderon C. ↓, Pibe ↑,
73', Escobar J. ↓, Conde M. ↑,
73', Barri ↓, Presa K. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Escobar A. ⚽,
80', Samanes S. 🟨,
84', 1 - 3, Escobar A. ⚽,
87', Escobar A. 🟨,
87', Diez S. 🟨,
87', Chacon L. ↓, Fornos Q. ↑,
87', Gavian P. ↓, Diez S. ↑,
87', de la Iglesia D. ↓, Barreiros I. ↑,
89', Garcia V. 🟨,
90+4', Martinez A. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celta de Vigo B won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Leonesa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Celta de Vigo B won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26:19 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Celta de Vigo B won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:11 (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.11.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Celta de Vigo B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.11.24	Leonesa - Sestao	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Amorebieta - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Llanera - Leonesa	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Leonesa - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	FC Andorra - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.03.24	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	0:0
09.12.23	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:0
30.04.23	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	1:1
10.12.22	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:1
08.05.22	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	5:3
05.12.21	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.05.21	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:1

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