Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.3
	1.94	3.25	3.45
	2.02	3.3	4.07
	1.95	3.24	3.73	Watch
	1.98	3.64	3.43
	1.94	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.83)	3.36 ↓ (3.37)	3.57 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
47%

Draw
27.3%

Celta de Vigo B
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.2%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

26.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 22. Pibe 6. Presa K. (C) 14. Bicho 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M. 19. Escobar A.	13. Vidal Girona M. V. (G) 7. Diez S. 4. Alonso G. 5. Lago Y. 23. Garriel I. 3. Tincho 31. Arcos A. 15. Antanon A. 8. Roman M. 17. Marcos O. 16. Gonzalez H.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 21. Artola J. 8. Barri 7. Calderon C. 18. Lanchi 16. Maestre S. 31. Martinez I. 12. Ortega G. 4. Rodri Suarez 28. Ruiz A. 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V.	34. Barreiros I. 14. Burcio H. 1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 9. Escobar J. 29. Gavian P. 11. Guedes J. 18. Lopez J. 27. Rodriguez A. 24. Vazquez J. 2. Vicente

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Pibe ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Satrustegui E. 🟨,
58', Diez S. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
58', Arcos A. ↓, Burcio H. ↑,
59', Escobar A. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Justo M. ⚽,
68', Bicho ↓, Barri ↑,
68', Pibe ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
75', Gonzalez H. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
75', Antanon A. ↓, Guedes J. ↑,
81', Justo M. 🟨,
82', Presa K. ↓, Rodri Suarez ↑,
82', Justo M. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
86', Marcos O. ↓, Barreiros I. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Idaho State won 2.

Recent matches Idaho State is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sacramento State is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Idaho State is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Idaho State won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1301:1357 (average 65.1:67.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Idaho State won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 643:635 (average 64.3:63.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Leonesa - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Sestao - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
19.01.25	Lugo - Leonesa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTWW
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.02.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.11.24	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	1:3
17.03.24	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	0:0
09.12.23	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:0
30.04.23	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	1:1
10.12.22	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:1
08.05.22	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	5:3
05.12.21	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	0:1

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