Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burgos		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.1
	2.2	2.98	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.78
	2.20	3.01	3.59	Watch
	2.45	3	3
	2.23	3.14	3.65	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.5)	3.03 ↑ (2.95)	3.34 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
41.1%

Draw
30.9%

Las Palmas
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.9%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgos's performance.

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Palmas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Palmas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	58.8%	29.4%

Burgos - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Las Palmas (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 18. Cordoba A. (C) 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 16. Curro 19. Chapela I. 9. Nino F.	1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 6. Sergio Barcia 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 12. Loiodice E. (C) 26. Gonzalez I. 14. Fuster M. 11. Cardona M. 25. Lukovic M. 22. Garcia A.
Substitutes
10. Appin K. 17. Cantero M. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 31. Garcia F. 35. Gonzalez D. (G) 20. Gonzalez M. 6. Gonzalez S. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G)	4. Alex Suarez 29. Arvelo A. 13. Caro J. (G) 8. Gil I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 10. Jese 7. Mata J. 24. Pejino 9. Recoba J. 35. Suarez A. (G) 21. Viera J.
Coaches
Ramis L.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Loiodice E. 🟨,
56', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 🟨,
57', Cardona M. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
61', Lukovic M. 🟨,
69', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
71', Fuster M. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
78', Morante I. 🟨,
78', Chapela I. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
78', Lizancos A. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
84', Gonzalez I. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
84', Lukovic M. ↓, Jese ↑,
89', Curro ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
89', Morante I. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Gil I. (Injury) Ramirez S. (Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Burgos: Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
31.08.25	FC Andorra - Burgos	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Burgos	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Burgos - Leonesa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Burgos - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Burgos - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWTW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
31.08.25	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Córdoba - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
17.08.25	Las Palmas - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Tenerife - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
24.07.25	Cádiz - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.02.23	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0
01.11.22	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:2
13.02.22	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:2
20.09.21	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0

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