Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Perez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Burgos		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.82	3	2.57	Watch
	2.62	2.92	2.82	Watch
	2.99	2.95	2.78
	40.00	5.70	1.15	Watch
	2.72	2.88	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.23 ↑ (2.62)	3.49 ↑ (2.96)	2.43 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
12.3%

Draw
36%

Valladolid
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

32.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

32.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos's form might have worsened.

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valladolid's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+23.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valladolid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Burgos - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Burgos (1.41) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Valladolid (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 20. Gonzalez M. 10. Appin K. 9. Nino F.	13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 27. Garriel I. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 24. Juric S. 22. Peter Federico 7. Canos S. 17. Biuk S. 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 18. Cordoba A. 21. Cordoba I. 28. del Cerro S. 31. Garcia F. 35. Gonzalez D. (G) 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 1. Ruiz J. (G) 32. Ventosa E.	1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 3. Bueno G. 20. Chuki 18. Delgado J. 23. Jaouab M. 6. Lachuer M. 10. Marcos Andre 30. Modesto H. 21. Ponceau J. 5. Sanchez J. 2. Trilli
Coaches
Ramis L.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Garriel I. 🟨,
21', Atienza M. 🟨,
22', Alejo I. 🟨,
35', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
38', Canos S. ↓, Chuki ↑,
44', Morante I. 🟨,
45+2', Lizancos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Morante I. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
46', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
55', Miguel F. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Chuki ⚽,
64', Gonzalez M. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
64', Appin K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
68', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
70', Garriel I. ↓, Bueno G. ↑,
70', Peter Federico ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
73', Juric S. 🟨,
75', Nino F. 🟨,
75', Biuk S. 🟨,
75', Biuk S. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
75', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
83', Torres D. 🟨,
90', Chuki 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Burgos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Exposito M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Valladolid: Jaouab M. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury) Maroto M. (Health problems) Ndiaye A. (Face Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Juric S. (Foot Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.25	Huesca - Burgos	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Burgos - Málaga	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Burgos - Granada	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTWT
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.25	Valladolid - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Valladolid - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Valladolid - Almería	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.25	Burgos - Valladolid	2:2
27.07.24	Valladolid - Burgos	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.24	Burgos - Valladolid	1:0
01.10.23	Valladolid - Burgos	3:0
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Burgos - Valladolid	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
08.01.22	Valladolid - Burgos	1:0
05.09.21	Burgos - Valladolid	3:0

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