Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Burgos		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.65	3	Watch
	2.35	2.85	3.1
	2.62	2.72	3	Watch
	2.74	2.77	3.07	Watch
	2.75	2.63	2.9
	2.82	2.72	3.03	Watch
	2.75	2.71	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.72)	2.72 ↓ (2.94)	3.01 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
34.8%

Draw
34.3%

Eibar
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

30.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Burgos - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Eibar will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Burgos (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 15. Bunuel A. 18. Cordoba A. (C) 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 11. Mollejo V. 5. Atienza M. 23. Morante I. 21. Cordoba I. 9. Nino F. 16. Curro	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 22. Rodriguez A. 8. Nolaskoain P. 4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 6. Alvarez S. (C) 30. Garrido A. 16. Madariaga A. 10. Guruzeta J. 17. Corpas J. 9. Bautista J.
Substitutes
17. Cantero M. 19. Chapela I. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 31. Garcia F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 20. Gonzalez M. 6. Gonzalez S. 22. Martinez B. 36. Martinez I. 7. Mejia M. 1. Ruiz J. (G)	7. Alkain X. 24. Buta L. 2. Cubero S. 27. Garcia H. 15. Jair 20. Javier Marton 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 14. Olaetxea L. 19. Villa T.
Coaches
Ramis L.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Mollejo V. ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Cordoba I. ⚽, Cordoba A. (A),
71', Madariaga A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
71', Garrido A. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
80', Curro ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
80', Morante I. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
82', Rodriguez A. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
82', Alvarez S. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
90', Nino F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
90', Cordoba I. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
90+2', Arrillaga H. ↓, Jair ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Eibar has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Injury) Lizancos A. (Yellow Cards) Mejia M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Eibar: Arbilla A. (Red Card) Ares A. (Injury) Moreno M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Eibar: 13.54% Burgos CF: 4.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21
6	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.26	Córdoba - Burgos	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Burgos - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.12.25	Burgos - Getafe	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Almería - Burgos	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTWWL
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.26	Eibar - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Eibar - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Eibar - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Córdoba - Eibar	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Eibar - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.25	Burgos - Eibar	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.25	Eibar - Burgos	1:0
23.11.24	Burgos - Eibar	1:0
10.03.24	Eibar - Burgos	0:1
09.09.23	Burgos - Eibar	1:0
11.03.23	Eibar - Burgos	1:0
08.12.22	Burgos - Eibar	1:2

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