Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Brazil	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Spain	GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Burgos		Levante

	1	X	2
	4.33	3	2	Watch
	4.33	2.95	1.88
	4	3.05	2.02	Watch
	4.15	3.12	2.08
	4.28	3.13	2.01	Watch
	4.6	3.3	1.75
	4.54	3.02	1.98	Watch
	4	3.05	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (5.02)	3.08 ↓ (3.59)	1.97 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
21.9%

Draw
30.5%

Levante
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

26.2%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

25.9%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	14.3%	81%

Burgos - Levante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Levante (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Burgos (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Levante will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Levante (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 18. Cordoba A. (C) 3. Miguel F. 21. Cordoba I. 11. Alex Sancris 5. Atienza M. 23. Morante I. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 9. Nino F.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 4. Dela 5. Elgezabal U. 18. Miquel I. 16. Varela Pampin D. 24. Alvarez C. 8. Algobia A. 10. Iborra V. (C) 23. Martinez P. 7. Brugue R. 11. Morales J.
Substitutes
15. Bares G. 22. Elady 33. Exposito M. 2. Konan G. 24. Milicic N. 17. Mimbacas F. 37. Monedero M. (G) 1. Nadal T. (G) 6. Navarro R. 20. Pipa 46. Quintanilla R. 10. Sanchez B.	14. Cabello J. 38. Espi C. 30. Fernandez V. 19. Fores A. 6. Kochorashvili G. 21. Lozano S. 29. Navarro M. 13. Pastor A. (G) 32. Primo A. (G) 9. Romero I. 22. Sanchez M. 31. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Ramis L.	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Nino F. ⚽, Cordoba I. (A),
18', Martinez P. (Pen),
21', 1 - 1, Morales J. ⚽, Dela (A),
36', 2 - 1, Nino F. ⚽, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Iborra V. 🟨,
56', Martinez P. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
56', Iborra V. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
59', Elgezabal U. 🟨,
72', Algobia A. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
72', Miquel I. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
76', Morante I. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
76', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Pipa ↑,
77', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
83', Atienza M. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Brugue R. ⚽, Morales J. (A),
90', Alex Sancris ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 3, Alvarez C. ⚽, Espi C. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Burgos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Levante is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Levante is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Burgos: Alex Sancris (Yellow Cards) Appin K. (Knee Injury) Sierra G. (Red Card)

There will not play in Levante: Rey O. (Yellow Cards) Romero I. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Burgos: Curro (Knee Injury) Elady (Ankle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.25	Eibar - Burgos	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Burgos - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Burgos - Elche	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Mirandés - Burgos	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Burgos - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLT
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.25	Levante - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Elche - Levante	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Levante - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Levante - Zaragoza	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.24	Levante - Burgos	3:1
16.03.24	Burgos - Levante	1:1
19.08.23	Levante - Burgos	3:2
29.01.23	Levante - Burgos	1:0
25.09.22	Burgos - Levante	0:0

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